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Rotherham v Crawley Town: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · Aesseal New York Stadium
Sat 14 Nov 2026
Rotherham 45%Draw 24%Crawley Town 31% Expected goals 1.68 – 1.32
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultRotherham to win45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.77

Rotherham vs Crawley Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Saturday 14 November: Rotherham v Crawley Town in the League Two, played at Aesseal New York Stadium. In the table, Rotherham are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 14 matches; Crawley Town are 24th (in the drop zone) with 9. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Rotherham, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bromley, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Crawley Town, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Brentford U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rotherham 1.7 xG, Crawley Town 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rotherham 45%, draw 24%, Crawley Town 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rotherham 1–1 Crawley Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rotherham45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.50
Crawley Town31%fair 3.20 · @3.25
3.00Expected goals
1.68Rotherham xG
1.32Crawley Town xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Rotherham 1.7 – 1.3 Crawley Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

RotherhamCrawley Town
Attack vs League Two average-0%-16%
Goals conceded vs average+35%+14%
Our expected goals here1.751.29

Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRotherham to win45%2.232.00
Double chanceEither team to win76%1.311.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score63%1.581.57
Draw no betRotherham (draw no bet)59%1.70–
Asian handicapCrawley Town +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals80%1.261.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals57%1.741.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals64%1.571.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals80%1.241.18
First team to scoreRotherham to score first53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time39%2.53–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rotherham / FT Rotherham28%3.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.77–

Recent results

Rotherham – last 6

WLLDDL
7 Nov@ Bromley2–0W
3 Novvs Newcastle United U210–1L
31 Oct@ Swindon Town1–2L
24 Octvs Shrewsbury3–3D
20 Octvs Newport County2–2D
17 Oct@ Fleetwood Town0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Crawley Town – last 6

LLWDLL
10 Novvs Brentford U211–2L
8 Nov@ Wimborne Town0–2L
31 Oct@ Oldham1–0W
24 Octvs Tranmere1–1D
20 Octvs Shrewsbury2–3L
17 Oct@ Salford City1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rotherham and Crawley Town.

Rotherham vs Crawley Town head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rotherham vs Crawley Town?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Rotherham vs Crawley Town?

On our numbers Rotherham have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Crawley Town 31%.

How many goals will there be in Rotherham vs Crawley Town?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rotherham vs Crawley Town?

Our predicted score is Rotherham 1–1 Crawley Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Rotherham vs Crawley Town?

Rotherham vs Crawley Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Aesseal New York Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.