Atlético Baleares vs Ucam Murcia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
10:30 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Atlético Baleares v Ucam Murcia in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3, played at Estadio Balear. In the table, Atlético Baleares are 10th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Ucam Murcia are 2nd (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Atlético Baleares, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Intercity, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ucam Murcia, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Valencia II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Atlético Baleares, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Ucam Murcia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Baleares 1.2 xG, Ucam Murcia 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Baleares 44%, draw 24%, Ucam Murcia 32%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Baleares 1–1 Ucam Murcia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Baleares44%fair 2.30 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
Ucam Murcia32%fair 3.11 · @3.10
2.25Expected goals
1.24Atlético Baleares xG
1.01Ucam Murcia xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Atlético Baleares 1.2 – 1.0 Ucam Murcia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético Baleares to win✗
44%
2.30
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.95
Draw no bet
Atlético Baleares (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Ucam Murcia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Atlético Baleares to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlético Baleares / FT Atlético Baleares✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.23
–
Recent results
Atlético Baleares – last 6
DLWWLW
13 Sep
@ Intercity
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Yeclano
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ SS Reyes
3–0
W
21 Aug
@ Real Madrid II
2–0
W
14 Aug
@ Poblense
0–1
L
31 May
vs Real Jaén
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ucam Murcia – last 6
WLLLLL
13 Sep
vs Valencia II
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Castellonense
1–2
L
3 May
@ Xerez
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Real Jaén
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ La Unión Atlético
1–4
L
5 Apr
@ Deportiva Minera
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Baleares and Ucam Murcia.
What is the prediction for Atlético Baleares vs Ucam Murcia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Atlético Baleares vs Ucam Murcia?
On our numbers Atlético Baleares have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ucam Murcia 32%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Baleares vs Ucam Murcia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Baleares vs Ucam Murcia?
Our predicted score is Atlético Baleares 1–1 Ucam Murcia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atlético Baleares vs Ucam Murcia?
Atlético Baleares vs Ucam Murcia (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Balear.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
