Lorca Deportiva vs Intercity: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lorca Deportiva welcome Intercity for a Segunda División RFEF Group 3 fixture on Sunday 20 September (11:00 WAT). In the table, Lorca Deportiva are 8th, upper half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Intercity are 9th (upper half) with 13. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lorca Deportiva, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Orihuela, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Intercity, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Atlético Baleares, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Intercity, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Lorca Deportiva.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lorca Deportiva 1.1 xG, Intercity 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lorca Deportiva 30%, draw 26%, Intercity 44%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lorca Deportiva 1–1 Intercity. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lorca Deportiva30%fair 3.33 · @2.88
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.75
Intercity44%fair 2.26 · @2.50
2.50Expected goals
1.10Lorca Deportiva xG
1.40Intercity xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Lorca Deportiva 1.1 – 1.4 Intercity expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Intercity to win✗
44%
2.26
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Intercity (draw no bet)
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Lorca Deportiva +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Intercity to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Intercity / FT Intercity✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.30
–
Recent results
Lorca Deportiva – last 6
LDLLDD
13 Sep
@ Orihuela
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Elche II
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Águilas
0–1
L
3 May
@ Deportiva Minera
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Yeclano
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Almería II
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Intercity – last 6
DWLWWW
13 Sep
vs Atlético Baleares
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Castellón II
2–1
W
14 Aug
vs Levante II
0–1
L
11 Aug
vs Jove Español
2–1
W
3 May
vs Colonia Moscardó
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Getafe II
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lorca Deportiva and Intercity.
What is the prediction for Lorca Deportiva vs Intercity?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Lorca Deportiva vs Intercity?
On our numbers Lorca Deportiva have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Intercity 44%.
How many goals will there be in Lorca Deportiva vs Intercity?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lorca Deportiva vs Intercity?
Our predicted score is Lorca Deportiva 1–1 Intercity, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lorca Deportiva vs Intercity?
Lorca Deportiva vs Intercity (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
