Value bet: Mallorca II to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMallorca II to win ✓43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.21
Real Murcia II vs Mallorca II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mallorca II travel to face Real Murcia II on Sunday 20 September in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Real Murcia II are 15th, lower half, on 8 points after 9 matches; Mallorca II are 13th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Real Murcia II, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to La Nucía, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Mallorca II, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Deportiva Minera, at home. 3.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Mallorca II, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Real Murcia II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Murcia II 1.3 xG, Mallorca II 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Murcia II 33%, draw 24%, Mallorca II 43%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Mallorca II to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Murcia II 1–1 Mallorca II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Murcia II33%fair 3.04 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.90
Mallorca II43%fair 2.33 · @2.50
2.75Expected goals
1.26Real Murcia II xG
1.49Mallorca II xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Real Murcia II 1.3 – 1.5 Mallorca II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mallorca II to win✓
43%
2.33
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.73
Draw no bet
Mallorca II (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Real Murcia II +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Mallorca II to score first✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mallorca II / FT Mallorca II✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.21
–
Recent results
Real Murcia II – last 6
LLDWWD
13 Sep
@ La Nucía
1–5
L
5 Sep
vs Orihuela
1–2
L
20 Jun
@ Pamplona
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs Pamplona
2–1
W
7 Jun
vs Olímpico Totana
2–1
W
31 May
@ Olímpico Totana
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mallorca II – last 6
DDWWDW
13 Sep
vs Deportiva Minera
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Valencia II
1–1
D
3 May
vs Mercadal
7–0
W
19 Apr
vs Felanitx
8–1
W
12 Apr
@ Peña Deportiva
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Portmany
5–0
W
3.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Murcia II and Mallorca II.
What is the prediction for Real Murcia II vs Mallorca II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Real Murcia II vs Mallorca II?
On our numbers Real Murcia II have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mallorca II 43%.
How many goals will there be in Real Murcia II vs Mallorca II?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Murcia II vs Mallorca II?
Our predicted score is Real Murcia II 1–1 Mallorca II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Real Murcia II vs Mallorca II?
Real Murcia II vs Mallorca II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
