Value bet: La Nucía to win @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultYeclano to win ✗38% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.29
Yeclano vs La Nucía: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Yeclano v La Nucía in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3, played at Campo de la Constitucion. In the table, Yeclano are 14th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; La Nucía are 5th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Yeclano, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Peña Deportiva, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
La Nucía, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Real Murcia II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yeclano 1.3 xG, La Nucía 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yeclano 38%, draw 25%, La Nucía 37%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: La Nucía to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yeclano 1–1 La Nucía. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yeclano38%fair 2.60 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.75
La Nucía37%fair 2.73 · @3.20
2.50Expected goals
1.27Yeclano xG
1.23La Nucía xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Yeclano 1.3 – 1.2 La Nucía expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yeclano to win✗
38%
2.60
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Yeclano (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
La Nucía +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Yeclano to score first✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yeclano / FT Yeclano✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.29
–
Recent results
Yeclano – last 6
DWDDDW
13 Sep
@ Peña Deportiva
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Atlético Baleares
1–0
W
3 May
vs Estepona
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Lorca Deportiva
2–2
D
12 Apr
@ Antoniano
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ Puente Genil
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
La Nucía – last 6
WWLWDD
13 Sep
vs Real Murcia II
5–1
W
6 Sep
vs Poblense
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Alcoyano
1–2
L
20 Jun
vs Trival Valderas
1–0
W
14 Jun
@ Trival Valderas
0–0
D
7 Jun
@ Levante II
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yeclano and La Nucía.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Yeclano vs La Nucía?
On our numbers Yeclano have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and La Nucía 37%.
How many goals will there be in Yeclano vs La Nucía?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yeclano vs La Nucía?
Our predicted score is Yeclano 1–1 La Nucía, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Yeclano vs La Nucía?
Yeclano vs La Nucía (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo de la Constitucion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
