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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Elche II v Peña Deportiva: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT
Elche II 44%Draw 23%Peña Deportiva 33% Expected goals 0.85 – 0.65
51%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.95 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultElche II to win ✓44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.29

Elche II vs Peña Deportiva: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Peña Deportiva travel to face Elche II on Sunday 20 September in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 – the ball rolls at 10:30 WAT. In the table, Elche II are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 9 matches; Peña Deportiva are 18th (in the drop zone) with 7. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Elche II, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cieza, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Peña Deportiva, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Yeclano, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Peña Deportiva, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Elche II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Elche II 0.8 xG, Peña Deportiva 0.7 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Elche II 44%, draw 23%, Peña Deportiva 33%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elche II 0–0 Peña Deportiva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Elche II44%fair 2.27 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Peña Deportiva33%fair 3.06 · @3.00
1.50Expected goals
0.85Elche II xG
0.65Peña Deportiva xG
49%Both score
19%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–022%
1–019%
0–115%
1–112%
2–08%
2–15%

From our goals model: Elche II 0.8 – 0.7 Peña Deportiva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultElche II to win ✓44%2.272.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.951.95
Draw no betElche II (draw no bet) ✓57%1.74–
Asian handicapPeña Deportiva +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓56%1.79–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scoreElche II to score first ✓44%2.28–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓57%1.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗29%3.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19%5.29–

Recent results

Elche II – last 6

LDWLLL
13 Sep@ Cieza0–1L
6 Sep@ Lorca Deportiva1–1D
19 Augvs FC Cartagena2–0W
3 Mayvs Quintanar del Rey1–3L
26 Apr@ CD Coria0–4L
19 Aprvs Rayo Majadahonda0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Peña Deportiva – last 6

DLLWDW
13 Sepvs Yeclano1–1D
6 Sep@ Deportiva Minera0–1L
14 Aug@ Ibiza0–5L
20 Junvs Arenas Armilla5–2W
14 Jun@ Arenas Armilla1–1D
7 Jun@ Manacor3–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Elche II and Peña Deportiva.

Elche II vs Peña Deportiva head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportiva Minera9621+720
2Ucam Murcia10613+1119
3Castellón II9603+1018
4Castellonense9513+516
5La Nucía9504+115
6Cieza9423+614
7Alcoyano9423-114
8Lorca Deportiva10343+213
9Intercity9342+113
10Atlético Baleares10343013
11Poblense10415-313
12Orihuela10343-513
13Mallorca II10334-312
14Yeclano10253-211
15Real Murcia II9225-88
16Elche II9225-108
17Valencia II9144-57
18Peña Deportiva10217-67

More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Elche II vs Peña Deportiva?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Elche II vs Peña Deportiva?

On our numbers Elche II have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Peña Deportiva 33%.

How many goals will there be in Elche II vs Peña Deportiva?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Elche II vs Peña Deportiva?

Our predicted score is Elche II 0–0 Peña Deportiva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Elche II vs Peña Deportiva?

Elche II vs Peña Deportiva (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.