Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultDeportiva Minera to win ✓57% · @1.85
Double chanceDeportiva Minera or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.46
Deportiva Minera vs Castellonense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
10:30 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Deportiva Minera v Castellonense in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3. In the table, Deportiva Minera are 1st, leading the league, on 20 points after 9 matches; Castellonense are 4th (among the top four) with 16.
Current form
Deportiva Minera, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over La Nucía, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Castellonense, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Real Murcia II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportiva Minera 1.4 xG, Castellonense 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportiva Minera 57%, draw 22%, Castellonense 21%.
Lower-risk option: Deportiva Minera or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Deportiva Minera or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportiva Minera 1–0 Castellonense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportiva Minera57%fair 1.76 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Castellonense21%fair 4.82 · @3.90
2.00Expected goals
1.35Deportiva Minera xG
0.65Castellonense xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–014%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Deportiva Minera 1.4 – 0.6 Castellonense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportiva Minera to win✓
57%
1.76
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Deportiva Minera or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.80
Draw no bet
Deportiva Minera (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Castellonense +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Deportiva Minera to score first
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportiva Minera / FT Deportiva Minera✓
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.46
–
Recent results
Deportiva Minera – last 6
WLDDWW
4 Oct
vs La Nucía
2–0
W
27 Sep
@ Alcoyano
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Orihuela
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Mallorca II
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Peña Deportiva
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Eldense B
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Castellonense – last 6
WLWWWD
4 Oct
vs Real Murcia II
3–0
W
27 Sep
@ Lorca Deportiva
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Cieza
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Poblense
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Ucam Murcia
2–1
W
26 Apr
vs Saguntino
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportiva Minera and Castellonense.
What is the prediction for Deportiva Minera vs Castellonense?
Our pick is Deportiva Minera or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Deportiva Minera vs Castellonense?
On our numbers Deportiva Minera have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Castellonense 21%.
How many goals will there be in Deportiva Minera vs Castellonense?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportiva Minera vs Castellonense?
Our predicted score is Deportiva Minera 1–0 Castellonense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Deportiva Minera vs Castellonense?
Deportiva Minera vs Castellonense (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
