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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Murcia II v Yeclano: numbers & prediction

1–1
FT

Yeclano

DWLDW
Real Murcia II 15%Draw 24%Yeclano 61% Expected goals 0.63 – 1.57
85%
Betarazi pick

Yeclano or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Yeclano to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultYeclano to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceYeclano or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.63

Real Murcia II vs Yeclano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

10:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Real Murcia II v Yeclano in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3. In the table, Real Murcia II are 15th, lower half, on 8 points after 9 matches; Yeclano are 14th (lower half) with 11. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Real Murcia II, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Castellonense, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Yeclano, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Intercity, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Yeclano, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Real Murcia II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Murcia II 0.6 xG, Yeclano 1.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Murcia II 15%, draw 24%, Yeclano 61%.
  • Lower-risk option: Yeclano or draw (85%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Yeclano to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Yeclano or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Murcia II 0–1 Yeclano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Murcia II15%fair 6.53 · @3.90
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.90
Yeclano61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
2.20Expected goals
0.63Real Murcia II xG
1.57Yeclano xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–117%
0–214%
0–011%
1–111%
1–29%
0–37%

From our goals model: Real Murcia II 0.6 – 1.6 Yeclano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultYeclano to win ✗61%1.641.95 ▲
Double chanceYeclano or draw ✓85%1.181.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.981.95
Draw no betYeclano (draw no bet)80%1.25–
Asian handicapYeclano -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreYeclano to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Yeclano / FT Yeclano ✗37%2.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.63–

Recent results

Real Murcia II – last 6

LWLLLD
4 Oct@ Castellonense0–3L
27 Sep@ Peña Deportiva2–0W
20 Sepvs Mallorca II0–1L
13 Sep@ La Nucía1–5L
5 Sepvs Orihuela1–2L
20 Jun@ Pamplona1–1D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Yeclano – last 6

DWLDWD
4 Oct@ Intercity1–1D
27 Sepvs Elche II1–0W
20 Sepvs La Nucía0–1L
13 Sep@ Peña Deportiva1–1D
6 Sepvs Atlético Baleares1–0W
3 Mayvs Estepona1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Real Murcia II and Yeclano.

Real Murcia II vs Yeclano head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportiva Minera9621+720
2Ucam Murcia10613+1119
3Castellón II9603+1018
4Castellonense9513+516
5La Nucía9504+115
6Cieza9423+614
7Alcoyano9423-114
8Lorca Deportiva10343+213
9Intercity9342+113
10Atlético Baleares10343013
11Poblense10415-313
12Orihuela10343-513
13Mallorca II10334-312
14Yeclano10253-211
15Real Murcia II9225-88
16Elche II9225-108
17Valencia II9144-57
18Peña Deportiva10217-67

More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Murcia II vs Yeclano?

Our pick is Yeclano or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Real Murcia II vs Yeclano?

On our numbers Real Murcia II have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Yeclano 61%.

How many goals will there be in Real Murcia II vs Yeclano?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Murcia II vs Yeclano?

Our predicted score is Real Murcia II 0–1 Yeclano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Real Murcia II vs Yeclano?

Real Murcia II vs Yeclano (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.