Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
2
Value bet: Orihuela to win @ 2.45 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOrihuela to win ✗46% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.91
Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Peña Deportiva welcome Orihuela for a Segunda División RFEF Group 3 fixture on Sunday 11 October (10:30 WAT). In the table, Peña Deportiva are 18th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 10 matches; Orihuela are 12th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Peña Deportiva, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Valencia II, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Orihuela, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Cieza, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Orihuela, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Peña Deportiva.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Peña Deportiva 1.2 xG, Orihuela 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Peña Deportiva 31%, draw 23%, Orihuela 46%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Orihuela to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Peña Deportiva 1–1 Orihuela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Peña Deportiva31%fair 3.20 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Orihuela46%fair 2.20 · @2.45
2.80Expected goals
1.24Peña Deportiva xG
1.56Orihuela xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Peña Deportiva 1.2 – 1.6 Orihuela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orihuela to win✗
46%
2.20
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.65
Draw no bet
Orihuela (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Peña Deportiva +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Orihuela to score first
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orihuela / FT Orihuela✗
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.91
–
Recent results
Peña Deportiva – last 6
LLLDLL
4 Oct
@ Valencia II
2–3
L
27 Sep
vs Real Murcia II
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Elche II
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Yeclano
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Deportiva Minera
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Ibiza
0–5
L
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Orihuela – last 6
LLDDWW
4 Oct
vs Cieza
0–4
L
26 Sep
vs Castellón II
1–4
L
20 Sep
@ Deportiva Minera
2–2
D
16 Sep
vs Real Murcia
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Lorca Deportiva
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Real Murcia II
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Peña Deportiva and Orihuela.
What is the prediction for Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela?
On our numbers Peña Deportiva have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Orihuela 46%.
How many goals will there be in Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela?
Our predicted score is Peña Deportiva 1–1 Orihuela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela?
Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
