Atlético Baleares v Alcoyano Prediction & Expected Goals (25 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAtlético Baleares to win ✓44% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.01

Atlético Baleares vs Alcoyano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Atlético Baleares v Alcoyano in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3, played at Estadio Balear. In the table, Atlético Baleares are 10th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Alcoyano are 7th (upper half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Atlético Baleares, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Lorca Deportiva, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Alcoyano, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ucam Murcia, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Alcoyano, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Atlético Baleares.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Alcoyano 0–0 Atlético Baleares.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Baleares 1.5 xG, Alcoyano 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Baleares 44%, draw 26%, Alcoyano 30%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Baleares 1–1 Alcoyano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlético Baleares44%fair 2.26 · @2.20

Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.75

Alcoyano30%fair 3.33 · @3.40

2.69Expected goals

1.50Atlético Baleares xG

1.19Alcoyano xG

56%Both score

50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–010%

2–19%

0–18%

2–08%

1–27%

From our goals model: Atlético Baleares 1.5 – 1.2 Alcoyano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Atlético Baleares to win ✓	44%	2.26	2.20
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.35	1.40
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	56%	1.79	1.95 ▲
Draw no bet	Atlético Baleares (draw no bet) ✓	60%	1.68	–
Asian handicap	Alcoyano +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	72%	1.39	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	50%	1.98	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	72%	1.40	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
First team to score	Atlético Baleares to score first ✓	52%	1.92	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	42%	2.37	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Atlético Baleares / FT Atlético Baleares ✗	26%	3.80	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.01	–

Atlético Baleares – last 6

DDWDLD

18 Oct	@ Lorca Deportiva	2–2	D
11 Oct	vs Mallorca II	2–2	D
4 Oct	vs Poblense	2–1	W
27 Sep	@ Cieza	1–1	D
20 Sep	vs Ucam Murcia	1–4	L
13 Sep	@ Intercity	2–2	D

1.7Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Alcoyano – last 6

LWWWLD

11 Oct	@ Ucam Murcia	0–2	L
4 Oct	@ Mallorca II	1–0	W
27 Sep	vs Deportiva Minera	2–0	W
20 Sep	vs Poblense	2–0	W
12 Sep	@ Castellón II	0–3	L
5 Sep	vs Cieza	1–1	D

1.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportiva Minera	9	6	2	1	+7	20
2	Ucam Murcia	10	6	1	3	+11	19
3	Castellón II	9	6	0	3	+10	18
4	Castellonense	9	5	1	3	+5	16
5	La Nucía	9	5	0	4	+1	15
6	Cieza	9	4	2	3	+6	14
7	Alcoyano	9	4	2	3	-1	14
8	Lorca Deportiva	10	3	4	3	+2	13
9	Intercity	9	3	4	2	+1	13
10	Atlético Baleares	10	3	4	3	0	13
11	Poblense	10	4	1	5	-3	13
12	Orihuela	10	3	4	3	-5	13
13	Mallorca II	10	3	3	4	-3	12
14	Yeclano	10	2	5	3	-2	11
15	Real Murcia II	9	2	2	5	-8	8
16	Elche II	9	2	2	5	-10	8
17	Valencia II	9	1	4	4	-5	7
18	Peña Deportiva	10	2	1	7	-6	7

Team

Pts

+11

+10

-1

-3

-5

-3

-2

-8

-10

-5

-6

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlético Baleares vs Alcoyano?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Atlético Baleares vs Alcoyano?

On our numbers Atlético Baleares have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Alcoyano 30%.

How many goals will there be in Atlético Baleares vs Alcoyano?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlético Baleares vs Alcoyano?

Our predicted score is Atlético Baleares 1–1 Alcoyano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Atlético Baleares vs Alcoyano?

Atlético Baleares vs Alcoyano (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Balear.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Atlético Baleares v Alcoyano: numbers & prediction