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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mallorca II v Elche II: numbers & prediction

4–0
FT
Mallorca II 41%Draw 22%Elche II 37% Expected goals 1.26 – 1.18
52%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.91 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.95Odds
2

Value bet: Elche II to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMallorca II to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.08

Mallorca II vs Elche II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Elche II travel to face Mallorca II on Sunday 25 October in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Mallorca II are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Elche II are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8.

Current form

Mallorca II, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Orihuela, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Elche II, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Valencia II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mallorca II 1.3 xG, Elche II 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mallorca II 41%, draw 22%, Elche II 37%.
  • Price worth noting: Elche II to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.91, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mallorca II 1–1 Elche II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mallorca II41%fair 2.42 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
Elche II37%fair 2.69 · @3.00
2.44Expected goals
1.26Mallorca II xG
1.18Elche II xG
47%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Mallorca II 1.3 – 1.2 Elche II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMallorca II to win ✓41%2.422.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.88–
Draw no betMallorca II (draw no bet) ✓53%1.90–
Asian handicapElche II +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreMallorca II to score first ✓47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mallorca II / FT Mallorca II ✓22%4.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%9.08–

Recent results

Mallorca II – last 6

LDLLWD
18 Octvs Orihuela0–2L
11 Oct@ Atlético Baleares2–2D
4 Octvs Alcoyano0–1L
27 Sep@ La Nucía0–2L
20 Sep@ Real Murcia II1–0W
13 Sepvs Deportiva Minera0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Elche II – last 6

WLLWLD
10 Octvs Valencia II4–1W
3 Octvs Ucam Murcia1–5L
27 Sep@ Yeclano0–1L
20 Sepvs Peña Deportiva1–0W
13 Sep@ Cieza0–1L
6 Sep@ Lorca Deportiva1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mallorca II and Elche II.

Mallorca II vs Elche II head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportiva Minera9621+720
2Ucam Murcia10613+1119
3Castellón II9603+1018
4Castellonense9513+516
5La Nucía9504+115
6Cieza9423+614
7Alcoyano9423-114
8Lorca Deportiva10343+213
9Intercity9342+113
10Atlético Baleares10343013
11Poblense10415-313
12Orihuela10343-513
13Mallorca II10334-312
14Yeclano10253-211
15Real Murcia II9225-88
16Elche II9225-108
17Valencia II9144-57
18Peña Deportiva10217-67

More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mallorca II vs Elche II?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Mallorca II vs Elche II?

On our numbers Mallorca II have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Elche II 37%.

How many goals will there be in Mallorca II vs Elche II?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mallorca II vs Elche II?

Our predicted score is Mallorca II 1–1 Elche II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Mallorca II vs Elche II?

Mallorca II vs Elche II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.