Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultUcam Murcia to win ✗58% · @1.80
Double chanceUcam Murcia or draw ✗83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Ucam Murcia vs Cieza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:30 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Ucam Murcia v Cieza in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3, played at Estadio de La Condomina. In the table, Ucam Murcia are 2nd, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Cieza are 6th (upper half) with 14.
Current form
Ucam Murcia, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Alcoyano, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Cieza, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Intercity, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ucam Murcia 1.8 xG, Cieza 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ucam Murcia 58%, draw 25%, Cieza 17%.
Lower-risk option: Ucam Murcia or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ucam Murcia or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ucam Murcia 1–0 Cieza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ucam Murcia58%fair 1.72 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.25
Cieza17%fair 5.99 · @4.00
2.69Expected goals
1.81Ucam Murcia xG
0.88Cieza xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Ucam Murcia 1.8 – 0.9 Cieza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ucam Murcia to win✗
58%
1.72
1.80
Double chance
Ucam Murcia or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.75
Draw no bet
Ucam Murcia (draw no bet)✗
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Cieza +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Ucam Murcia to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Ucam Murcia ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ucam Murcia / FT Ucam Murcia✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Ucam Murcia – last 6
WWLWWL
11 Oct
vs Alcoyano
2–0
W
3 Oct
@ Elche II
5–1
W
27 Sep
vs Intercity
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Atlético Baleares
4–1
W
13 Sep
vs Valencia II
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Castellonense
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cieza – last 6
WWDLWD
11 Oct
vs Intercity
3–1
W
4 Oct
@ Orihuela
4–0
W
27 Sep
vs Atlético Baleares
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Castellonense
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Elche II
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Alcoyano
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ucam Murcia and Cieza.
Our pick is Ucam Murcia or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ucam Murcia vs Cieza?
On our numbers Ucam Murcia have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cieza 17%.
How many goals will there be in Ucam Murcia vs Cieza?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ucam Murcia vs Cieza?
Our predicted score is Ucam Murcia 1–0 Cieza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ucam Murcia vs Cieza?
Ucam Murcia vs Cieza (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de La Condomina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
