Real Murcia II vs Lorca Deportiva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 25 October the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 brings Real Murcia II against Lorca Deportiva. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Real Murcia II are 15th, lower half, on 8 points after 9 matches; Lorca Deportiva are 8th (upper half) with 13.
Current form
Real Murcia II, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Yeclano, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Lorca Deportiva, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Atlético Baleares, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lorca Deportiva, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Real Murcia II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Murcia II 1.1 xG, Lorca Deportiva 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Murcia II 31%, draw 24%, Lorca Deportiva 45%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Murcia II 1–1 Lorca Deportiva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Murcia II31%fair 3.22 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
Lorca Deportiva45%fair 2.24 · @2.20
2.46Expected goals
1.09Real Murcia II xG
1.37Lorca Deportiva xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%
From our goals model: Real Murcia II 1.1 – 1.4 Lorca Deportiva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lorca Deportiva to win✗
45%
2.24
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Draw no bet
Lorca Deportiva (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Real Murcia II +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Lorca Deportiva to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lorca Deportiva / FT Lorca Deportiva✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.43
–
Recent results
Real Murcia II – last 6
DLWLLL
11 Oct
vs Yeclano
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Castellonense
0–3
L
27 Sep
@ Peña Deportiva
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Mallorca II
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ La Nucía
1–5
L
5 Sep
vs Orihuela
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lorca Deportiva – last 6
DWLWDL
18 Oct
vs Atlético Baleares
2–2
D
11 Oct
@ La Nucía
3–1
W
3 Oct
@ Castellón II
1–2
L
27 Sep
vs Castellonense
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Intercity
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Orihuela
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Murcia II and Lorca Deportiva.
What is the prediction for Real Murcia II vs Lorca Deportiva?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Real Murcia II vs Lorca Deportiva?
On our numbers Real Murcia II have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lorca Deportiva 45%.
How many goals will there be in Real Murcia II vs Lorca Deportiva?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Murcia II vs Lorca Deportiva?
Our predicted score is Real Murcia II 1–1 Lorca Deportiva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Real Murcia II vs Lorca Deportiva?
Real Murcia II vs Lorca Deportiva (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
