Gresford Athletic v Porthmadog Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPorthmadog to win ✓59% · @1.62

Double chancePorthmadog or draw ✓80% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07

Gresford Athletic vs Porthmadog: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Gresford Athletic v Porthmadog in the FAW Championship. In the table, Gresford Athletic are 15th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 12 matches; Porthmadog are 3rd (among the top four) with 27. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gresford Athletic, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Penrhyncoch, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Porthmadog, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bangor City 1876 FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Porthmadog, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Gresford Athletic.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gresford Athletic 1.0 xG, Porthmadog 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 63%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Gresford Athletic 20%, draw 21%, Porthmadog 59%.
Lower-risk option: Porthmadog or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gresford Athletic 1–1 Porthmadog. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gresford Athletic20%fair 5.00 · @4.20

Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.75

Porthmadog59%fair 1.68 · @1.62

2.89Expected goals

0.99Gresford Athletic xG

1.90Porthmadog xG

63%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%

1–110%

0–210%

1–210%

0–36%

1–36%

From our goals model: Gresford Athletic 1.0 – 1.9 Porthmadog expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Porthmadog to win ✓	59%	1.68	1.62
Double chance	Porthmadog or draw ✓	80%	1.25	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	63%	1.59	1.50
Draw no bet	Porthmadog (draw no bet) ✓	75%	1.34	–
Asian handicap	Gresford Athletic +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	65%	1.53	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	78%	1.28	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.81	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	–
First team to score	Porthmadog to score first ✓	62%	1.61	–
Half-time result	Porthmadog ahead at half-time ✓	43%	2.34	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Porthmadog / FT Porthmadog ✓	37%	2.71	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.07	–

Gresford Athletic – last 6

WWDLLL

3 Oct	@ Penrhyncoch	1–0	W
26 Sep	vs Rhyl	3–1	W
12 Sep	@ Guilsfield	1–1	D
6 Sep	vs Mold Alexandra	1–5	L
31 Aug	@ Llanuwchllyn	0–2	L
21 Aug	@ Bala Town	0–3	L

1.0Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Porthmadog – last 6

WWWLDL

3 Oct	vs Bangor City 1876 FC	1–0	W
26 Sep	@ Newtown AFC	1–0	W
12 Sep	vs Ruthin Town	3–0	W
5 Sep	vs Bala Town	1–2	L
31 Aug	@ Holyhead Hotspur	2–2	D
28 Aug	vs Caersws	1–3	L

1.5Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	14	11	1	2	+19	34
2	Newtown AFC	13	9	3	1	+19	30
3	Porthmadog	14	8	3	3	+7	27
4	Mold Alexandra	13	7	4	2	+15	25
5	Bala Town	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Caersws	13	6	5	2	+10	23
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	13	6	4	3	+15	22
8	Guilsfield	14	4	6	4	+1	18
9	Buckley Town	14	4	3	7	0	15
10	Holyhead Hotspur	13	4	3	6	-3	15
11	Llanuwchllyn	14	4	3	7	-9	15
12	Denbigh Town	13	4	2	7	-2	14
13	Rhyl	14	2	7	5	-3	13
14	Ruthin Town	13	3	3	7	-12	12
15	Gresford Athletic	12	2	1	9	-26	7
16	Penrhyncoch	13	0	1	12	-34	1

Team

Pts

+19

+19

+15

+10

+15

-3

-9

-2

-3

-12

-26

-34

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gresford Athletic vs Porthmadog?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Gresford Athletic vs Porthmadog?

On our numbers Gresford Athletic have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Porthmadog 59%.

How many goals will there be in Gresford Athletic vs Porthmadog?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gresford Athletic vs Porthmadog?

Our predicted score is Gresford Athletic 1–1 Porthmadog, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Gresford Athletic vs Porthmadog?

Gresford Athletic vs Porthmadog (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Gresford Athletic v Porthmadog: numbers & prediction