Cardiff Draconians 37%Draw 20%Carmarthen Town 44%Expected goals 1.66 – 1.83
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultCarmarthen Town to win ✗44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.79
Cardiff Draconians vs Carmarthen Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Cardiff Draconians v Carmarthen Town in the FAW Championship. In the table, Cardiff Draconians are 14th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 11 matches; Carmarthen Town are 10th (lower half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cardiff Draconians, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Newport City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Carmarthen Town, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Llantwit Major, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cardiff Draconians 1.7 xG, Carmarthen Town 1.8 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cardiff Draconians 37%, draw 20%, Carmarthen Town 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cardiff Draconians 1–2 Carmarthen Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cardiff Draconians37%fair 2.72 · @2.55
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.75
Carmarthen Town44%fair 2.29 · @2.20
3.49Expected goals
1.66Cardiff Draconians xG
1.83Carmarthen Town xG
55%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–35%
From our goals model: Cardiff Draconians 1.7 – 1.8 Carmarthen Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carmarthen Town to win✗
44%
2.29
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Carmarthen Town (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Cardiff Draconians +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
First team to score
Carmarthen Town to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carmarthen Town / FT Carmarthen Town✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.79
–
Recent results
Cardiff Draconians – last 6
DLWWLD
3 Oct
vs Newport City
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Caerau (Ely)
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Baglan Dragons
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs llanelli AFC
4–2
W
15 Aug
vs Pontypridd Town
1–4
L
7 Aug
@ Caerphilly Athletic
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Carmarthen Town – last 6
LWDLDL
2 Oct
vs Llantwit Major
1–2
L
25 Sep
@ Baglan Dragons
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Ynyshir Albions
2–2
D
31 Aug
vs Trethomas Bluebirds
2–3
L
28 Aug
@ llanelli AFC
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Treowen Stars
2–4
L
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cardiff Draconians and Carmarthen Town.
What is the prediction for Cardiff Draconians vs Carmarthen Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cardiff Draconians vs Carmarthen Town?
On our numbers Cardiff Draconians have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Carmarthen Town 44%.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff Draconians vs Carmarthen Town?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff Draconians vs Carmarthen Town?
Our predicted score is Cardiff Draconians 1–2 Carmarthen Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Cardiff Draconians vs Carmarthen Town?
Cardiff Draconians vs Carmarthen Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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