Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.08
Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the FAW Championship brings Baglan Dragons against Pontypridd Town. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Baglan Dragons are 5th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Pontypridd Town are 1st (leading the league) with 27.
Current form
Baglan Dragons, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over llanelli AFC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Pontypridd Town, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Llantwit Major, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Pontypridd Town 2–0 Baglan Dragons.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Baglan Dragons 1.4 xG, Pontypridd Town 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Baglan Dragons 35%, draw 20%, Pontypridd Town 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baglan Dragons 1–2 Pontypridd Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Baglan Dragons35%fair 2.89 · @2.70
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.60
Pontypridd Town45%fair 2.20 · @2.10
3.05Expected goals
1.40Baglan Dragons xG
1.65Pontypridd Town xG
52%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Baglan Dragons 1.4 – 1.7 Pontypridd Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town?
On our numbers Baglan Dragons have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pontypridd Town 45%.
How many goals will there be in Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town?
Our predicted score is Baglan Dragons 1–2 Pontypridd Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town?
Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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