Llanuwchllyn v Penrhyncoch Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultLlanuwchllyn to win ✓64% · @1.55

Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.14

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43

Llanuwchllyn vs Penrhyncoch: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 10 October the FAW Championship brings Llanuwchllyn against Penrhyncoch. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Llanuwchllyn are 11th, lower half, on 15 points after 14 matches; Penrhyncoch are 16th (in the drop zone) with 1. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Llanuwchllyn, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Guilsfield, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Penrhyncoch, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Gresford Athletic, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Momentum favours Llanuwchllyn, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for Penrhyncoch.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Llanuwchllyn 2.3 xG, Penrhyncoch 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Llanuwchllyn 64%, draw 16%, Penrhyncoch 20%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Llanuwchllyn 2–1 Penrhyncoch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Llanuwchllyn64%fair 1.56 · @1.55

Draw16%fair 6.07 · @4.33

Penrhyncoch20%fair 5.12 · @4.20

3.50Expected goals

2.32Llanuwchllyn xG

1.18Penrhyncoch xG

52%Both score

66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%

1–18%

2–08%

3–17%

1–07%

3–06%

From our goals model: Llanuwchllyn 2.3 – 1.2 Penrhyncoch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Llanuwchllyn to win ✓	64%	1.56	1.55
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	84%	1.20	1.14
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	52%	1.91	–
Draw no bet	Llanuwchllyn (draw no bet) ✓	77%	1.30	–
Asian handicap	Llanuwchllyn -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	66%	1.51	1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	54%	1.86	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	73%	1.38	–
First team to score	Llanuwchllyn to score first ✓	64%	1.56	–
Half-time result	Llanuwchllyn ahead at half-time ✓	47%	2.12	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Llanuwchllyn / FT Llanuwchllyn ✓	41%	2.44	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.43	–

Llanuwchllyn – last 6

LLDWWL

3 Oct	@ Guilsfield	0–1	L
26 Sep	vs Caersws	2–5	L
12 Sep	@ Mold Alexandra	2–2	D
5 Sep	vs Holyhead Hotspur	4–0	W
31 Aug	vs Gresford Athletic	2–0	W
28 Aug	@ Newtown AFC	0–4	L

1.7Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Penrhyncoch – last 6

LLLLLL

3 Oct	vs Gresford Athletic	0–1	L
25 Sep	@ Ruthin Town	0–2	L
15 Sep	vs Bala Town	0–1	L
12 Sep	vs Bangor City 1876 FC	1–5	L
5 Sep	@ Buckley Town	0–5	L
31 Aug	@ Guilsfield	0–4	L

0.2Scored / game

3.0Conceded / game

17%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	14	11	1	2	+19	34
2	Newtown AFC	13	9	3	1	+19	30
3	Porthmadog	14	8	3	3	+7	27
4	Mold Alexandra	13	7	4	2	+15	25
5	Bala Town	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Caersws	13	6	5	2	+10	23
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	13	6	4	3	+15	22
8	Guilsfield	14	4	6	4	+1	18
9	Buckley Town	14	4	3	7	0	15
10	Holyhead Hotspur	13	4	3	6	-3	15
11	Llanuwchllyn	14	4	3	7	-9	15
12	Denbigh Town	13	4	2	7	-2	14
13	Rhyl	14	2	7	5	-3	13
14	Ruthin Town	13	3	3	7	-12	12
15	Gresford Athletic	12	2	1	9	-26	7
16	Penrhyncoch	13	0	1	12	-34	1

Team

Pts

+19

+19

+15

+10

+15

-3

-9

-2

-3

-12

-26

-34

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Llanuwchllyn vs Penrhyncoch?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Llanuwchllyn vs Penrhyncoch?

On our numbers Llanuwchllyn have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Penrhyncoch 20%.

How many goals will there be in Llanuwchllyn vs Penrhyncoch?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Llanuwchllyn vs Penrhyncoch?

Our predicted score is Llanuwchllyn 2–1 Penrhyncoch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Llanuwchllyn vs Penrhyncoch?

Llanuwchllyn vs Penrhyncoch (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Llanuwchllyn v Penrhyncoch: numbers & prediction