Guilsfield v Denbigh Town Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGuilsfield to win ✗58% · @1.73

Double chanceGuilsfield or draw ✗82% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.40

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.49

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39

Guilsfield vs Denbigh Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 10 October the FAW Championship brings Guilsfield against Denbigh Town. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Guilsfield are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Denbigh Town are 12th (lower half) with 14.

Current form

Guilsfield, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Llanuwchllyn, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Denbigh Town, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Holyhead Hotspur, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Guilsfield, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Denbigh Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Guilsfield 2.2 xG, Denbigh Town 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Guilsfield 58%, draw 24%, Denbigh Town 18%.
Lower-risk option: Guilsfield or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Guilsfield or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guilsfield 2–1 Denbigh Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Guilsfield58%fair 1.73 · @1.73

Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.60

Denbigh Town18%fair 5.61 · @3.75

3.45Expected goals

2.23Guilsfield xG

1.22Denbigh Town xG

67%Both score

67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%

1–19%

2–08%

3–17%

1–07%

2–26%

From our goals model: Guilsfield 2.2 – 1.2 Denbigh Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Guilsfield to win ✗	58%	1.73	1.73
Double chance	Guilsfield or draw ✗	82%	1.22	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	67%	1.48	1.40
Draw no bet	Guilsfield (draw no bet) ✗	76%	1.31	–
Asian handicap	Guilsfield -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	55%	1.83	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	73%	1.36	–
First team to score	Guilsfield to score first ✗	62%	1.60	–
Half-time result	Guilsfield ahead at half-time ✗	45%	2.21	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Guilsfield / FT Guilsfield ✗	39%	2.58	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.39	–

Guilsfield – last 6

WWDLWL

3 Oct	vs Llanuwchllyn	1–0	W
26 Sep	@ Holyhead Hotspur	2–0	W
12 Sep	vs Gresford Athletic	1–1	D
5 Sep	@ Brickfield Rangers	0–2	L
31 Aug	vs Penrhyncoch	4–0	W
28 Aug	@ Buckley Town	1–3	L

1.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Denbigh Town – last 6

LLWLLD

2 Oct	vs Holyhead Hotspur	2–4	L
26 Sep	@ Brickfield Rangers	0–2	L
11 Sep	vs Bala Town	5–2	W
5 Sep	@ Newtown AFC	0–1	L
31 Aug	vs Rhyl	1–3	L
28 Aug	@ Penrhyncoch	2–2	D

1.7Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	14	11	1	2	+19	34
2	Newtown AFC	13	9	3	1	+19	30
3	Porthmadog	14	8	3	3	+7	27
4	Mold Alexandra	13	7	4	2	+15	25
5	Bala Town	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Caersws	13	6	5	2	+10	23
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	13	6	4	3	+15	22
8	Guilsfield	14	4	6	4	+1	18
9	Buckley Town	14	4	3	7	0	15
10	Holyhead Hotspur	13	4	3	6	-3	15
11	Llanuwchllyn	14	4	3	7	-9	15
12	Denbigh Town	13	4	2	7	-2	14
13	Rhyl	14	2	7	5	-3	13
14	Ruthin Town	13	3	3	7	-12	12
15	Gresford Athletic	12	2	1	9	-26	7
16	Penrhyncoch	13	0	1	12	-34	1

Team

Pts

+19

+19

+15

+10

+15

-3

-9

-2

-3

-12

-26

-34

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guilsfield vs Denbigh Town?

Our pick is Guilsfield or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Guilsfield vs Denbigh Town?

On our numbers Guilsfield have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Denbigh Town 18%.

How many goals will there be in Guilsfield vs Denbigh Town?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guilsfield vs Denbigh Town?

Our predicted score is Guilsfield 2–1 Denbigh Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Guilsfield vs Denbigh Town?

Guilsfield vs Denbigh Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Guilsfield v Denbigh Town: numbers & prediction