Newtown AFC v Bangor City 1876 FC Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultNewtown AFC to win ✗63% · @1.50

Double chanceNewtown AFC or draw ✓82% · @1.15

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.55

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15

Newtown AFC vs Bangor City 1876 FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Newtown AFC welcome Bangor City 1876 FC to Latham Park for a FAW Championship fixture on Saturday 10 October (14:30 WAT). In the table, Newtown AFC are 2nd, among the top four, on 30 points after 13 matches; Bangor City 1876 FC are 7th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Newtown AFC, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mold Alexandra, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Bangor City 1876 FC, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Porthmadog, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours Newtown AFC, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Bangor City 1876 FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Newtown AFC 2.2 xG, Bangor City 1876 FC 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Newtown AFC 63%, draw 19%, Bangor City 1876 FC 18%.
Lower-risk option: Newtown AFC or draw (82%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Newtown AFC to win (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newtown AFC 2–1 Bangor City 1876 FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Newtown AFC63%fair 1.59 · @1.50

Draw19%fair 5.26 · @3.90

Bangor City 1876 FC18%fair 5.50 · @4.80

3.26Expected goals

2.18Newtown AFC xG

1.08Bangor City 1876 FC xG

62%Both score

63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%

2–09%

1–19%

1–08%

3–17%

3–07%

From our goals model: Newtown AFC 2.2 – 1.1 Bangor City 1876 FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Newtown AFC to win ✗	63%	1.59	1.50
Double chance	Newtown AFC or draw ✓	82%	1.22	1.15
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	62%	1.62	1.55
Draw no bet	Newtown AFC (draw no bet)	78%	1.29	–
Asian handicap	Newtown AFC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	84%	1.20	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	63%	1.58	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	59%	1.70	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	–
First team to score	Newtown AFC to score first ✗	64%	1.55	–
Half-time result	Newtown AFC ahead at half-time ✗	46%	2.16	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Newtown AFC / FT Newtown AFC ✗	40%	2.48	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.15	–

Newtown AFC – last 6

WLWWWW

3 Oct	@ Mold Alexandra	2–1	W
26 Sep	vs Porthmadog	0–1	L
12 Sep	@ Holyhead Hotspur	1–0	W
5 Sep	vs Denbigh Town	1–0	W
31 Aug	@ Bala Town	1–0	W
28 Aug	vs Llanuwchllyn	4–0	W

1.5Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Bangor City 1876 FC – last 6

LLWDLW

3 Oct	@ Porthmadog	0–1	L
25 Sep	vs Buckley Town	2–6	L
12 Sep	@ Penrhyncoch	5–1	W
5 Sep	vs Rhyl	2–2	D
31 Aug	@ Mold Alexandra	1–2	L
28 Aug	vs Brickfield Rangers	2–1	W

2.0Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	14	11	1	2	+19	34
2	Newtown AFC	13	9	3	1	+19	30
3	Porthmadog	14	8	3	3	+7	27
4	Mold Alexandra	13	7	4	2	+15	25
5	Bala Town	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Caersws	13	6	5	2	+10	23
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	13	6	4	3	+15	22
8	Guilsfield	14	4	6	4	+1	18
9	Buckley Town	14	4	3	7	0	15
10	Holyhead Hotspur	13	4	3	6	-3	15
11	Llanuwchllyn	14	4	3	7	-9	15
12	Denbigh Town	13	4	2	7	-2	14
13	Rhyl	14	2	7	5	-3	13
14	Ruthin Town	13	3	3	7	-12	12
15	Gresford Athletic	12	2	1	9	-26	7
16	Penrhyncoch	13	0	1	12	-34	1

Team

Pts

+19

+19

+15

+10

+15

-3

-9

-2

-3

-12

-26

-34

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Newtown AFC vs Bangor City 1876 FC?

Our pick is Newtown AFC to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Newtown AFC vs Bangor City 1876 FC?

On our numbers Newtown AFC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Bangor City 1876 FC 18%.

How many goals will there be in Newtown AFC vs Bangor City 1876 FC?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Newtown AFC vs Bangor City 1876 FC?

Our predicted score is Newtown AFC 2–1 Bangor City 1876 FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Newtown AFC vs Bangor City 1876 FC?

Newtown AFC vs Bangor City 1876 FC (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Latham Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Newtown AFC v Bangor City 1876 FC: numbers & prediction