Denbigh Town v Mold Alexandra Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMold Alexandra to win ✗44% · @2.34

Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.17

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.32

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.29

Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 6 November the FAW Championship brings Denbigh Town against Mold Alexandra. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Denbigh Town are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Mold Alexandra are 4th (among the top four) with 25.

Current form

Denbigh Town, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Llanuwchllyn, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Mold Alexandra, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rhyl, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Mold Alexandra, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Denbigh Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Denbigh Town 1.8 xG, Mold Alexandra 1.9 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Denbigh Town 37%, draw 19%, Mold Alexandra 44%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.32.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Denbigh Town 1–1 Mold Alexandra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Denbigh Town37%fair 2.70 · @2.33

Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.76

Mold Alexandra44%fair 2.30 · @2.34

3.71Expected goals

1.77Denbigh Town xG

1.94Mold Alexandra xG

71%Both score

70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%

1–28%

2–17%

2–27%

1–35%

0–15%

From our goals model: Denbigh Town 1.8 – 1.9 Mold Alexandra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Mold Alexandra to win ✗	44%	2.30	2.34
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	81%	1.24	1.17
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	71%	1.42	1.32
Draw no bet	Mold Alexandra (draw no bet)	54%	1.85	–
Asian handicap	Denbigh Town +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	71%	1.41	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	88%	1.13	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	70%	1.43	1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	50%	1.99	1.78
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	1.31
First team to score	Mold Alexandra to score first ✗	51%	1.96	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	35%	2.87	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Mold Alexandra / FT Mold Alexandra ✗	26%	3.84	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.29	–

Denbigh Town – last 6

WLWLLW

31 Oct	@ Llanuwchllyn	4–3	W
16 Oct	vs Bangor City 1876 FC	0–2	L
10 Oct	@ Guilsfield	2–0	W
2 Oct	vs Holyhead Hotspur	2–4	L
26 Sep	@ Brickfield Rangers	0–2	L
11 Sep	vs Bala Town	5–2	W

2.2Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Mold Alexandra – last 6

WWLWDW

31 Oct	vs Rhyl	2–1	W
10 Oct	@ Brickfield Rangers	4–0	W
3 Oct	vs Newtown AFC	1–2	L
26 Sep	@ Bala Town	4–2	W
12 Sep	vs Llanuwchllyn	2–2	D
6 Sep	@ Gresford Athletic	5–1	W

3.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	14	11	1	2	+19	34
2	Newtown AFC	13	9	3	1	+19	30
3	Porthmadog	14	8	3	3	+7	27
4	Mold Alexandra	13	7	4	2	+15	25
5	Bala Town	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Caersws	13	6	5	2	+10	23
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	13	6	4	3	+15	22
8	Guilsfield	14	4	6	4	+1	18
9	Buckley Town	14	4	3	7	0	15
10	Holyhead Hotspur	13	4	3	6	-3	15
11	Llanuwchllyn	14	4	3	7	-9	15
12	Denbigh Town	13	4	2	7	-2	14
13	Rhyl	14	2	7	5	-3	13
14	Ruthin Town	13	3	3	7	-12	12
15	Gresford Athletic	12	2	1	9	-26	7
16	Penrhyncoch	13	0	1	12	-34	1

Team

Pts

+19

+19

+15

+10

+15

-3

-9

-2

-3

-12

-26

-34

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.

Who will win Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra?

On our numbers Denbigh Town have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Mold Alexandra 44%.

How many goals will there be in Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra?

Our predicted score is Denbigh Town 1–1 Mold Alexandra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra?

Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Denbigh Town v Mold Alexandra: numbers & prediction