Wednesday 11 November 2026 15 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Penrhyncoch v Caersws: numbers & prediction

FAW Championship · Wales

Penrhyncoch

LLLLL
0–3
FT

Caersws

DDDDW
Penrhyncoch 16%Draw 19%Caersws 65% Expected goals 1.13 – 2.41
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultCaersws to win ✓65% · @1.49
Double chanceCaersws or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.51

Penrhyncoch vs Caersws: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:45 WAT, Friday 6 November: Penrhyncoch v Caersws in the FAW Championship. In the table, Penrhyncoch are 16th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 13 matches; Caersws are 6th (upper half) with 23. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Penrhyncoch, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Holyhead Hotspur, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Caersws, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bangor City 1876 FC, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Caersws, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for Penrhyncoch.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Caersws 1–2 Penrhyncoch.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Penrhyncoch 1.1 xG, Caersws 2.4 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Penrhyncoch 16%, draw 19%, Caersws 65%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.42.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penrhyncoch 1–2 Caersws. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Penrhyncoch16%fair 6.26 · @4.55
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @4.33
Caersws65%fair 1.53 · @1.49
3.54Expected goals
1.13Penrhyncoch xG
2.41Caersws xG
62%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
0–28%
1–18%
1–38%
0–17%
0–37%

From our goals model: Penrhyncoch 1.1 – 2.4 Caersws expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCaersws to win ✓65%1.531.49
Double chanceCaersws or draw ✓84%1.191.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.42
Draw no betCaersws (draw no bet) ✓80%1.24–
Asian handicapCaersws -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.461.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓52%1.921.79
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓70%1.421.31
First team to scoreCaersws to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultCaersws ahead at half-time ✗49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Caersws / FT Caersws ✗43%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.51–

Recent results

Penrhyncoch – last 6

LLLLLL
31 Oct@ Holyhead Hotspur1–3L
10 Oct@ Llanuwchllyn1–4L
3 Octvs Gresford Athletic0–1L
25 Sep@ Ruthin Town0–2L
15 Sepvs Bala Town0–1L
12 Sepvs Bangor City 1876 FC1–5L
0.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Caersws – last 6

DDDDWL
31 Octvs Bangor City 1876 FC1–1D
24 Octvs Guilsfield2–2D
10 Oct@ Holyhead Hotspur1–1D
3 Octvs Bala Town3–3D
26 Sep@ Llanuwchllyn5–2W
12 Sepvs Brickfield Rangers0–2L
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Apr 2026Caersws v Penrhyncoch1–2
Penrhyncoch vs Caersws head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Brickfield Rangers141112+1934
2Newtown AFC13931+1930
3Porthmadog14833+727
4Mold Alexandra13742+1525
5Bala Town14734+324
6Caersws13652+1023
7Bangor City 1876 FC13643+1522
8Guilsfield14464+118
9Buckley Town14437015
10Holyhead Hotspur13436-315
11Llanuwchllyn14437-915
12Denbigh Town13427-214
13Rhyl14275-313
14Ruthin Town13337-1212
15Gresford Athletic12219-267
16Penrhyncoch130112-341

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub
FT Bangor City 1876 FC9 Gresford Athletic0 171%1.22X20%5.5529%8.20 2.5–0.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.27 ✓
FT Afan Lido3 Caerphilly Athletic2 142%2.29X20%3.54238%2.48 1.7–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.40 ✓
FT Baglan Dragons2 Ynyshir Albions1 135%2.86X21%3.32244%2.12 1.2–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.20 ✓
FT llanelli AFC3 Pontardawe Town3 114%9.00X19%5.40267%1.23 1.1–2.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.32 ✓
FT Newport City2 Treowen Stars2 156%1.77X24%3.88220%3.34 2.2–1.3xG 1XNewport City or draw 80%@1.22 ✓
FT Bala Town1 Guilsfield0 159%1.59X20%4.05220%4.05 2.2–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.46 ✗
FT Denbigh Town2 Mold Alexandra2 137%2.33X19%3.76244%2.34 1.8–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.32 ✓
FT Ruthin Town0 Newtown AFC2 114%5.55X22%4.30264%1.41 0.8–2.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.52 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Penrhyncoch vs Caersws?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Penrhyncoch vs Caersws?

On our numbers Penrhyncoch have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Caersws 65%.

How many goals will there be in Penrhyncoch vs Caersws?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Penrhyncoch vs Caersws?

Our predicted score is Penrhyncoch 1–2 Caersws, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Penrhyncoch vs Caersws?

Penrhyncoch vs Caersws (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.