llanelli AFC v Pontardawe Town Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPontardawe Town to win ✗67% · @1.23

Double chancePontardawe Town or draw ✓86% · @1.04

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.64

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.62

llanelli AFC vs Pontardawe Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 6 November the FAW Championship brings llanelli AFC against Pontardawe Town at Stebonheath Park. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, llanelli AFC are 16th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 14 matches; Pontardawe Town are 11th (lower half) with 14.

Current form

llanelli AFC, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Pontypridd Town, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Pontardawe Town, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Carmarthen Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Pontardawe Town, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.0 for llanelli AFC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give llanelli AFC 1.1 xG, Pontardawe Town 2.5 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – llanelli AFC 14%, draw 19%, Pontardawe Town 67%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.64.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: llanelli AFC 1–2 Pontardawe Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

llanelli AFC14%fair 6.94 · @9.00

Draw19%fair 5.25 · @5.40

Pontardawe Town67%fair 1.50 · @1.23

3.59Expected goals

1.11llanelli AFC xG

2.48Pontardawe Town xG

60%Both score

69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%

0–28%

1–38%

1–18%

0–37%

0–17%

From our goals model: llanelli AFC 1.1 – 2.5 Pontardawe Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Pontardawe Town to win ✗	67%	1.50	1.23
Double chance	Pontardawe Town or draw ✓	86%	1.17	1.04
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	60%	1.67	1.64
Draw no bet	Pontardawe Town (draw no bet)	82%	1.22	–
Asian handicap	Pontardawe Town -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	1.32
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	51%	1.95	1.81
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	70%	1.44	1.32
First team to score	Pontardawe Town to score first	67%	1.49	–
Half-time result	Pontardawe Town ahead at half-time ✗	50%	1.98	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Pontardawe Town / FT Pontardawe Town ✗	45%	2.23	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.62	–

llanelli AFC – last 6

LLLLLL

30 Oct	@ Pontypridd Town	0–4	L
23 Oct	vs Afan Lido	0–3	L
16 Oct	@ Caerau (Ely)	0–6	L
10 Oct	@ Ynyshir Albions	2–6	L
2 Oct	vs Baglan Dragons	1–2	L
26 Sep	@ Llantwit Major	0–2	L

0.5Scored / game

3.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Pontardawe Town – last 6

WDDWWL

31 Oct	vs Carmarthen Town	2–1	W
17 Oct	@ Llangennech	1–1	D
10 Oct	@ Llantwit Major	1–1	D
3 Oct	@ Trethomas Bluebirds	3–2	W
26 Sep	vs Treowen Stars	6–1	W
11 Sep	@ Swansea University	0–4	L

2.2Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pontypridd Town	13	8	3	2	+13	27
2	Aberystwyth Town	11	8	1	2	+18	25
3	Swansea University	11	7	3	1	+19	24
4	Caerau (Ely)	13	7	1	5	+1	22
5	Baglan Dragons	13	6	2	5	0	20
6	Ynyshir Albions	11	5	4	2	+7	19
7	Afan Lido	14	5	3	6	-2	18
8	Trethomas Bluebirds	13	4	5	4	+3	17
9	Treowen Stars	12	5	2	5	-1	17
10	Carmarthen Town	13	4	3	6	-6	15
11	Pontardawe Town	11	4	2	5	-1	14
12	Caerphilly Athletic	13	4	2	7	-7	14
13	Newport City	11	3	4	4	+4	13
14	Cardiff Draconians	11	3	3	5	-5	12
15	Llantwit Major	12	3	3	6	-12	12
16	llanelli AFC	14	0	3	11	-31	3

Team

Pts

+13

+18

+19

-2

-1

-6

-1

-7

-5

-12

-31

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for llanelli AFC vs Pontardawe Town?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.

Who will win llanelli AFC vs Pontardawe Town?

On our numbers llanelli AFC have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Pontardawe Town 67%.

How many goals will there be in llanelli AFC vs Pontardawe Town?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for llanelli AFC vs Pontardawe Town?

Our predicted score is llanelli AFC 1–2 Pontardawe Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is llanelli AFC vs Pontardawe Town?

llanelli AFC vs Pontardawe Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stebonheath Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

llanelli AFC v Pontardawe Town: numbers & prediction