Afan Lido v Caerphilly Athletic Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAfan Lido to win ✓42% · @2.29

Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.19

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.40

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.73

Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 6 November the FAW Championship brings Afan Lido against Caerphilly Athletic. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Afan Lido are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Caerphilly Athletic are 12th (lower half) with 14.

Current form

Afan Lido, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cardiff Draconians, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Caerphilly Athletic, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Caerau (Ely), at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Caerphilly Athletic, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Afan Lido.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Afan Lido 1.7 xG, Caerphilly Athletic 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 66%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Afan Lido 42%, draw 20%, Caerphilly Athletic 38%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Afan Lido 1–1 Caerphilly Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Afan Lido42%fair 2.40 · @2.29

Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.54

Caerphilly Athletic38%fair 2.62 · @2.48

3.25Expected goals

1.67Afan Lido xG

1.58Caerphilly Athletic xG

66%Both score

63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

2–19%

1–28%

2–27%

1–06%

0–16%

From our goals model: Afan Lido 1.7 – 1.6 Caerphilly Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Afan Lido to win ✓	42%	2.40	2.29
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	80%	1.25	1.19
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	66%	1.50	1.40
Draw no bet	Afan Lido (draw no bet) ✓	52%	1.92	–
Asian handicap	Caerphilly Athletic +1 (Asian handicap)	74%	1.34	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	84%	1.20	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	63%	1.58	1.43
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	58%	1.72	1.61
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	75%	1.33	1.23
First team to score	Afan Lido to score first	49%	2.03	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	38%	2.64	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Afan Lido / FT Afan Lido ✓	24%	4.16	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.73	–

Afan Lido – last 6

LWLDLD

31 Oct	@ Cardiff Draconians	0–2	L
23 Oct	@ llanelli AFC	3–0	W
18 Oct	vs Penybont	2–3	L
9 Oct	vs Swansea University	5–5	D
2 Oct	@ Caerau (Ely)	0–2	L
25 Sep	vs Newport City	0–0	D

1.7Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Caerphilly Athletic – last 6

LWWWLL

30 Oct	vs Caerau (Ely)	0–1	L
23 Oct	@ Carmarthen Town	3–1	W
17 Oct	vs Chepstow Town	1–0	W
9 Oct	vs Newport City	3–2	W
3 Oct	@ Swansea University	1–3	L
25 Sep	vs Pontypridd Town	1–2	L

1.5Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pontypridd Town	13	8	3	2	+13	27
2	Aberystwyth Town	11	8	1	2	+18	25
3	Swansea University	11	7	3	1	+19	24
4	Caerau (Ely)	13	7	1	5	+1	22
5	Baglan Dragons	13	6	2	5	0	20
6	Ynyshir Albions	11	5	4	2	+7	19
7	Afan Lido	14	5	3	6	-2	18
8	Trethomas Bluebirds	13	4	5	4	+3	17
9	Treowen Stars	12	5	2	5	-1	17
10	Carmarthen Town	13	4	3	6	-6	15
11	Pontardawe Town	11	4	2	5	-1	14
12	Caerphilly Athletic	13	4	2	7	-7	14
13	Newport City	11	3	4	4	+4	13
14	Cardiff Draconians	11	3	3	5	-5	12
15	Llantwit Major	12	3	3	6	-12	12
16	llanelli AFC	14	0	3	11	-31	3

Team

Pts

+13

+18

+19

-2

-1

-6

-1

-7

-5

-12

-31

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic?

On our numbers Afan Lido have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Caerphilly Athletic 38%.

How many goals will there be in Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic?

Our predicted score is Afan Lido 1–1 Caerphilly Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic?

Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Afan Lido v Caerphilly Athletic: numbers & prediction