Ruthin Town v Newtown AFC Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultNewtown AFC to win ✓64% · @1.41

Double chanceNewtown AFC or draw ✓86% · @1.06

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.21

Ruthin Town vs Newtown AFC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ruthin Town welcome Newtown AFC for a FAW Championship fixture on Friday 6 November (20:45 WAT). In the table, Ruthin Town are 14th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 13 matches; Newtown AFC are 2nd (among the top four) with 30. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ruthin Town, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gresford Athletic, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Newtown AFC, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Buckley Town, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Newtown AFC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Ruthin Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ruthin Town 0.8 xG, Newtown AFC 2.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ruthin Town 14%, draw 22%, Newtown AFC 64%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.52). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ruthin Town 0–2 Newtown AFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ruthin Town14%fair 7.23 · @5.55

Draw22%fair 4.55 · @4.30

Newtown AFC64%fair 1.56 · @1.41

2.84Expected goals

0.83Ruthin Town xG

2.01Newtown AFC xG

58%Both score

57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–212%

0–112%

1–210%

1–110%

0–38%

1–37%

From our goals model: Ruthin Town 0.8 – 2.0 Newtown AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Newtown AFC to win ✓	64%	1.56	1.41
Double chance	Newtown AFC or draw ✓	86%	1.16	1.06
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	58%	1.72	1.62
Draw no bet	Newtown AFC (draw no bet) ✓	82%	1.22	–
Asian handicap	Newtown AFC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.29	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	57%	1.74	1.49
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	64%	1.55	1.52
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	1.17
First team to score	Newtown AFC to score first ✓	67%	1.50	–
Half-time result	Newtown AFC ahead at half-time ✓	47%	2.14	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Newtown AFC / FT Newtown AFC ✓	42%	2.40	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.21	–

Ruthin Town – last 6

WDDWLL

31 Oct	@ Gresford Athletic	2–1	W
9 Oct	vs Rhyl	1–1	D
3 Oct	@ Buckley Town	1–1	D
25 Sep	vs Penrhyncoch	2–0	W
12 Sep	@ Porthmadog	0–3	L
4 Sep	vs Caersws	0–3	L

1.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Newtown AFC – last 6

WDWDWL

31 Oct	vs Buckley Town	2–0	W
24 Oct	@ Rhyl	2–2	D
17 Oct	vs Llanuwchllyn	7–0	W
10 Oct	vs Bangor City 1876 FC	0–0	D
3 Oct	@ Mold Alexandra	2–1	W
26 Sep	vs Porthmadog	0–1	L

2.2Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	14	11	1	2	+19	34
2	Newtown AFC	13	9	3	1	+19	30
3	Porthmadog	14	8	3	3	+7	27
4	Mold Alexandra	13	7	4	2	+15	25
5	Bala Town	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Caersws	13	6	5	2	+10	23
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	13	6	4	3	+15	22
8	Guilsfield	14	4	6	4	+1	18
9	Buckley Town	14	4	3	7	0	15
10	Holyhead Hotspur	13	4	3	6	-3	15
11	Llanuwchllyn	14	4	3	7	-9	15
12	Denbigh Town	13	4	2	7	-2	14
13	Rhyl	14	2	7	5	-3	13
14	Ruthin Town	13	3	3	7	-12	12
15	Gresford Athletic	12	2	1	9	-26	7
16	Penrhyncoch	13	0	1	12	-34	1

Team

Pts

+19

+19

+15

+10

+15

-3

-9

-2

-3

-12

-26

-34

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ruthin Town vs Newtown AFC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.

Who will win Ruthin Town vs Newtown AFC?

On our numbers Ruthin Town have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Newtown AFC 64%.

How many goals will there be in Ruthin Town vs Newtown AFC?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ruthin Town vs Newtown AFC?

Our predicted score is Ruthin Town 0–2 Newtown AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Ruthin Town vs Newtown AFC?

Ruthin Town vs Newtown AFC (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Ruthin Town v Newtown AFC: numbers & prediction