Newport City 56%Draw 24%Treowen Stars 20%Expected goals 2.19 – 1.29
80%
Betarazi pick
Newport City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultNewport City to win ✗56% · @1.77
Double chanceNewport City or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.39
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Newport City vs Treowen Stars: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Newport City welcome Treowen Stars for a FAW Championship fixture on Friday 6 November (20:30 WAT). In the table, Newport City are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Treowen Stars are 9th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Newport City, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Llantwit Major, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Treowen Stars, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Baglan Dragons, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Newport City 2–3 Treowen Stars.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newport City 2.2 xG, Treowen Stars 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newport City 56%, draw 24%, Treowen Stars 20%.
Lower-risk option: Newport City or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.39.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Newport City or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newport City 2–1 Treowen Stars. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newport City56%fair 1.78 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.88
Treowen Stars20%fair 4.94 · @3.34
3.48Expected goals
2.19Newport City xG
1.29Treowen Stars xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Newport City 2.2 – 1.3 Treowen Stars expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Newport City vs Treowen Stars?
Our pick is Newport City or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Newport City vs Treowen Stars?
On our numbers Newport City have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Treowen Stars 20%.
How many goals will there be in Newport City vs Treowen Stars?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newport City vs Treowen Stars?
Our predicted score is Newport City 2–1 Treowen Stars, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Newport City vs Treowen Stars?
Newport City vs Treowen Stars (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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