Trethomas Bluebirds v Afan Lido Prediction & Expected Goals (28 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultTrethomas Bluebirds to win ✓42% · @2.10

Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.86

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Friday 28 August: Trethomas Bluebirds v Afan Lido in the FAW Championship. In the table, Trethomas Bluebirds are 8th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Afan Lido are 7th (upper half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Trethomas Bluebirds, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Pontypridd Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Afan Lido, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Pontardawe Town, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Afan Lido, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Trethomas Bluebirds.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended Afan Lido 1–0 Trethomas Bluebirds.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Trethomas Bluebirds 1.7 xG, Afan Lido 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Trethomas Bluebirds 42%, draw 20%, Afan Lido 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trethomas Bluebirds 2–1 Afan Lido. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Trethomas Bluebirds42%fair 2.38 · @2.10

Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.80

Afan Lido38%fair 2.60 · @2.75

3.36Expected goals

1.72Trethomas Bluebirds xG

1.64Afan Lido xG

57%Both score

64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

2–18%

1–28%

2–27%

1–06%

0–16%

From our goals model: Trethomas Bluebirds 1.7 – 1.6 Afan Lido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Trethomas Bluebirds to win ✓	42%	2.38	2.10
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	80%	1.24	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	57%	1.77	–
Draw no bet	Trethomas Bluebirds (draw no bet) ✓	52%	1.92	–
Asian handicap	Afan Lido +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	64%	1.57	1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	57%	1.76	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	75%	1.33	–
First team to score	Trethomas Bluebirds to score first	49%	2.02	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	37%	2.70	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Trethomas Bluebirds / FT Trethomas Bluebirds ✓	24%	4.13	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	11.86	–

Trethomas Bluebirds – last 6

LLDDLW

21 Aug	@ Pontypridd Town	1–2	L
14 Aug	vs Caerau (Ely)	2–4	L
7 Aug	@ llanelli AFC	1–1	D
31 Jul	vs Baglan Dragons	0–0	D
14 Jul	@ Barry Town	1–5	L
20 Mar	vs Pontypridd Town	4–2	W

1.5Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Afan Lido – last 6

WLWLWW

21 Aug	vs Pontardawe Town	1–0	W
14 Aug	@ Carmarthen Town	1–3	L
7 Aug	vs Llantwit Major	5–0	W
1 Aug	vs Aberystwyth Town	2–5	L
3 Apr	vs Cwmbran Celtic	4–1	W
23 Mar	@ Treowen Stars	1–0	W

2.3Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pontypridd Town	13	8	3	2	+13	27
2	Aberystwyth Town	11	8	1	2	+18	25
3	Swansea University	11	7	3	1	+19	24
4	Caerau (Ely)	13	7	1	5	+1	22
5	Baglan Dragons	13	6	2	5	0	20
6	Ynyshir Albions	11	5	4	2	+7	19
7	Afan Lido	14	5	3	6	-2	18
8	Trethomas Bluebirds	13	4	5	4	+3	17
9	Treowen Stars	12	5	2	5	-1	17
10	Carmarthen Town	13	4	3	6	-6	15
11	Pontardawe Town	11	4	2	5	-1	14
12	Caerphilly Athletic	13	4	2	7	-7	14
13	Newport City	11	3	4	4	+4	13
14	Cardiff Draconians	11	3	3	5	-5	12
15	Llantwit Major	12	3	3	6	-12	12
16	llanelli AFC	14	0	3	11	-31	3

Team

Pts

+13

+18

+19

-2

-1

-6

-1

-7

-5

-12

-31

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido?

On our numbers Trethomas Bluebirds have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Afan Lido 38%.

How many goals will there be in Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido?

Our predicted score is Trethomas Bluebirds 2–1 Afan Lido, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido?

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Trethomas Bluebirds v Afan Lido: numbers & prediction