Caerau (Ely) 56%Draw 19%Pontypridd Town 25%Expected goals 2.20 – 1.40
68%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultCaerau (Ely) to win ✗56% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.45
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.80
Caerau (Ely) vs Pontypridd Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pontypridd Town travel to face Caerau (Ely) on Friday 6 November in the FAW Championship – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Caerau (Ely) are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 13 matches; Pontypridd Town are 1st (leading the league) with 27.
Current form
Caerau (Ely), last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Caerphilly Athletic, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Pontypridd Town, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over llanelli AFC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Momentum favours Caerau (Ely), collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Pontypridd Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caerau (Ely) 2.2 xG, Pontypridd Town 1.4 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caerau (Ely) 56%, draw 19%, Pontypridd Town 25%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caerau (Ely) 2–1 Pontypridd Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caerau (Ely)56%fair 1.77 · @1.80
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @3.76
Pontypridd Town25%fair 4.04 · @3.32
3.60Expected goals
2.20Caerau (Ely) xG
1.40Pontypridd Town xG
68%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Caerau (Ely) 2.2 – 1.4 Pontypridd Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caerau (Ely) to win✗
56%
1.77
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.45
Draw no bet
Caerau (Ely) (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Pontypridd Town +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.46
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.56
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.19
First team to score
Caerau (Ely) to score first✗
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Caerau (Ely) ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caerau (Ely) / FT Caerau (Ely)✗
36%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.80
–
Recent results
Caerau (Ely) – last 6
WLWWWW
30 Oct
@ Caerphilly Athletic
1–0
W
23 Oct
vs Llantwit Major
0–2
L
16 Oct
vs llanelli AFC
6–0
W
10 Oct
@ Aberystwyth Town
1–0
W
2 Oct
vs Afan Lido
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Cardiff Draconians
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pontypridd Town – last 6
WDDWLW
30 Oct
vs llanelli AFC
4–0
W
23 Oct
@ Newport City
4–4
D
10 Oct
@ Baglan Dragons
1–1
D
6 Oct
vs Llantwit Major
4–1
W
3 Oct
vs Aberystwyth Town
1–3
L
25 Sep
@ Caerphilly Athletic
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caerau (Ely) and Pontypridd Town.
What is the prediction for Caerau (Ely) vs Pontypridd Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Caerau (Ely) vs Pontypridd Town?
On our numbers Caerau (Ely) have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Pontypridd Town 25%.
How many goals will there be in Caerau (Ely) vs Pontypridd Town?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caerau (Ely) vs Pontypridd Town?
Our predicted score is Caerau (Ely) 2–1 Pontypridd Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Caerau (Ely) vs Pontypridd Town?
Caerau (Ely) vs Pontypridd Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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