Value bet: Chesham United to win @ 2.85 – our chance 42% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChesham United to win ✗42% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.38
Braintree vs Chesham United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 15 August the National League South brings Braintree against Chesham United at Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Braintree are 19th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Chesham United are 21st (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Braintree, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Tonbridge Angels, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Chesham United, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Weston-super-Mare, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Chesham United, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Braintree.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Braintree 1.5 xG, Chesham United 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Braintree 36%, draw 22%, Chesham United 42%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Chesham United to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Braintree 1–1 Chesham United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Braintree36%fair 2.79 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Chesham United42%fair 2.36 · @2.85
3.09Expected goals
1.47Braintree xG
1.62Chesham United xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Braintree 1.5 – 1.6 Chesham United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesham United to win✗
42%
2.36
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.67 ▲
Draw no bet
Chesham United (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Braintree +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Chesham United to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesham United / FT Chesham United✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.38
–
Recent results
Braintree – last 6
LLLWLL
8 Aug
vs Tonbridge Angels
0–4
L
1 Aug
vs Aldershot Town
1–2
L
28 Jul
@ Felixstowe & Walton Utd
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs Colchester United U21
4–0
W
18 Jul
@ Aveley
2–3
L
14 Jul
@ Welling United
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Chesham United – last 6
LLWWWL
8 Aug
@ Weston-super-Mare
0–3
L
28 Jul
@ Chertsey Town
1–2
L
6 Apr
vs Slough Town
4–1
W
3 Apr
@ Hemel Hempstead Town
3–0
W
31 Mar
@ Enfield Town
4–3
W
24 Mar
vs AFC Hornchurch
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Braintree and Chesham United.
What is the prediction for Braintree vs Chesham United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Braintree vs Chesham United?
On our numbers Braintree have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chesham United 42%.
How many goals will there be in Braintree vs Chesham United?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Braintree vs Chesham United?
Our predicted score is Braintree 1–1 Chesham United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Braintree vs Chesham United?
Braintree vs Chesham United (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
