Value bet: Dorking Wanderers to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDorking Wanderers to win ✗42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.47
Maidenhead vs Dorking Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Maidenhead welcome Dorking Wanderers to York Road for a National League South fixture on Saturday 15 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Maidenhead are 18th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Dorking Wanderers are 6th (upper half) with 27.
Current form
Maidenhead, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Truro City, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Dorking Wanderers, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dagenham & Redbridge, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Dorking Wanderers 2–0 Maidenhead.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maidenhead 1.0 xG, Dorking Wanderers 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maidenhead 37%, draw 21%, Dorking Wanderers 42%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Dorking Wanderers to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.30, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maidenhead 1–1 Dorking Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maidenhead37%fair 2.70 · @2.38
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.40
Dorking Wanderers42%fair 2.41 · @2.62
2.12Expected goals
1.01Maidenhead xG
1.10Dorking Wanderers xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: Maidenhead 1.0 – 1.1 Dorking Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Maidenhead vs Dorking Wanderers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Maidenhead vs Dorking Wanderers?
On our numbers Maidenhead have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dorking Wanderers 42%.
How many goals will there be in Maidenhead vs Dorking Wanderers?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maidenhead vs Dorking Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Maidenhead 1–1 Dorking Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Maidenhead vs Dorking Wanderers?
Maidenhead vs Dorking Wanderers (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at York Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
