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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dover v Slough Town: numbers & prediction

National League South · England · Crabble Athletic Ground

Dover

LDDWW
5–3
FT
Dover 49%Draw 21%Slough Town 30% Expected goals 1.45 – 1.05
69%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Dover to win @ 2.35 – our chance 49% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDover to win ✓49% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.04

Dover vs Slough Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Dover v Slough Town in the National League South, played at Crabble Athletic Ground. In the table, Dover are 13th, lower half, on 22 points after 14 matches; Slough Town are 24th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Dover, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Billericay Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Slough Town, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Wealdstone, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Dover, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Slough Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dover 1.5 xG, Slough Town 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dover 49%, draw 21%, Slough Town 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.48.
  • Price worth noting: Dover to win @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 49%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (69%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.45, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dover 1–1 Slough Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dover49%fair 2.05 · @2.35
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.45
Slough Town30%fair 3.33 · @2.60
2.50Expected goals
1.45Dover xG
1.05Slough Town xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–09%
0–08%

From our goals model: Dover 1.5 – 1.1 Slough Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDover to win ✓49%2.052.35 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.48
Draw no betDover (draw no bet) ✓62%1.62–
Asian handicapSlough Town +1 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.931.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.451.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗89%1.12–
First team to scoreDover to score first ✓53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dover / FT Dover ✓27%3.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.04–

Recent results

Dover – last 6

LDDWWL
8 Aug@ Billericay Town0–2L
1 Augvs Carshalton Athletic1–1D
28 Julvs Herne Bay2–2D
25 Julvs Burgess Hill Town1–0W
21 Julvs Deal Town2–1W
14 Julvs Gillingham0–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Slough Town – last 6

LWLLLL
1 Augvs Wealdstone0–2L
28 Julvs Oxford City2–1W
14 Julvs Basingstoke Town2–4L
6 Apr@ Chesham United1–4L
16 Mar@ Chelmsford City0–2L
10 Marvs Hampton & Richmond1–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Dover and Slough Town.

Dover vs Slough Town head-to-head page →

National League South table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ebbsfleet United161051+2635
2Maidstone Utd161024+932
3Salisbury15942+1731
4Truro City14932+1530
5Farnham Town16925+1229
6Dorking Wanderers15762+1127
7Billericay Town14752+1626
8Chelmsford City165101+825
9Dagenham & Redbridge16745+225
10Tonbridge Angels16736+924
11Torquay15654+723
12Horsham16574+422
13Dover14644+122
14Weston-super-Mare15636+321
15Folkestone Invicta15555+420
16AFC Totton16619-1219
17Farnborough16529-2017
18Maidenhead16376-516
19Braintree165110-1816
20Hemel Hempstead Town17368-1115
21Chesham United153210-1311
22Hampton & Richmond162410-1810
23Walton & Hersham152211-258
24Slough Town162113-227

More National League South predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dover vs Slough Town?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Dover vs Slough Town?

On our numbers Dover have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Slough Town 30%.

How many goals will there be in Dover vs Slough Town?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dover vs Slough Town?

Our predicted score is Dover 1–1 Slough Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Dover vs Slough Town?

Dover vs Slough Town (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Crabble Athletic Ground.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.