Value bet: Truro City to win @ 2.95 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChelmsford City to win ✗39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.78
Chelmsford City vs Truro City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Chelmsford City v Truro City in the National League South. In the table, Chelmsford City are 8th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Truro City are 4th (among the top four) with 30.
Current form
Chelmsford City, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hemel Hempstead Town, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Truro City, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Maidenhead, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chelmsford City 1.2 xG, Truro City 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chelmsford City 39%, draw 22%, Truro City 39%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Truro City to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelmsford City 1–1 Truro City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chelmsford City39%fair 2.54 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.35
Truro City39%fair 2.56 · @2.95
2.39Expected goals
1.20Chelmsford City xG
1.19Truro City xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Chelmsford City 1.2 – 1.2 Truro City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelmsford City to win✗
39%
2.54
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.60
Draw no bet
Chelmsford City (draw no bet)
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Truro City +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Chelmsford City to score first✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelmsford City / FT Chelmsford City✗
21%
4.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.78
–
Recent results
Chelmsford City – last 6
DWDDWD
8 Aug
@ Hemel Hempstead Town
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ Bishop's Stortford
3–1
W
14 Apr
@ AFC Hornchurch
3–3
D
6 Apr
@ Dagenham & Redbridge
3–3
D
3 Apr
vs Enfield Town
3–0
W
30 Mar
vs AFC Totton
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Truro City – last 6
WLWDLD
8 Aug
vs Maidenhead
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Plymouth
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Exeter City
1–0
W
6 Apr
vs Forest Green
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Yeovil Town
0–1
L
25 Mar
vs Solihull Moors
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelmsford City and Truro City.
What is the prediction for Chelmsford City vs Truro City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Chelmsford City vs Truro City?
On our numbers Chelmsford City have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Truro City 39%.
How many goals will there be in Chelmsford City vs Truro City?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelmsford City vs Truro City?
Our predicted score is Chelmsford City 1–1 Truro City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Chelmsford City vs Truro City?
Chelmsford City vs Truro City (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
