Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Tonbridge Angels to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTorquay to win ✓40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 11.88
Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Tonbridge Angels v Torquay in the National League South, played at Longmead Stadium. In the table, Tonbridge Angels are 10th, upper half, on 24 points after 16 matches; Torquay are 11th (upper half) with 23. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Tonbridge Angels, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Braintree, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Torquay, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Horsham, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tonbridge Angels 1.5 xG, Torquay 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tonbridge Angels 39%, draw 21%, Torquay 40%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Tonbridge Angels to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tonbridge Angels 1–1 Torquay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tonbridge Angels39%fair 2.53 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.60
Torquay40%fair 2.51 · @2.05
2.98Expected goals
1.48Tonbridge Angels xG
1.49Torquay xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tonbridge Angels 1.5 – 1.5 Torquay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torquay to win✓
40%
2.51
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Draw no bet
Torquay (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Tonbridge Angels +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Torquay to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torquay / FT Torquay✓
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
11.88
–
Recent results
Tonbridge Angels – last 6
WWLWDL
8 Aug
@ Braintree
4–0
W
28 Jul
vs Eastbourne Borough
4–2
W
14 Jul
vs Sutton Utd
0–2
L
11 Jul
vs Biggleswade
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ Eastbourne Borough
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Ebbsfleet United
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Torquay – last 6
DWWLWW
8 Aug
vs Horsham
1–1
D
31 Jul
vs Exeter City
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Cardiff City U21
5–0
W
21 Jul
vs Plymouth
0–1
L
18 Jul
@ Weston-super-Mare
2–1
W
2 May
vs Dorking Wanderers
4–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tonbridge Angels and Torquay.
What is the prediction for Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay?
On our numbers Tonbridge Angels have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Torquay 40%.
How many goals will there be in Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay?
Our predicted score is Tonbridge Angels 1–1 Torquay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay?
Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Longmead Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
