Farnborough v Hemel Hempstead Town Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFarnborough to win ✗40% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.60

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.12

Farnborough vs Hemel Hempstead Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Farnborough welcome Hemel Hempstead Town to Saunders Transport Community Stadium for a National League South fixture on Saturday 15 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Farnborough are 17th, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; Hemel Hempstead Town are 20th (lower half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Farnborough, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Maidstone Utd, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Hemel Hempstead Town, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chelmsford City, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Farnborough, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Hemel Hempstead Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Farnborough 1.3 xG, Hemel Hempstead Town 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Farnborough 40%, draw 22%, Hemel Hempstead Town 39%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Farnborough 1–1 Hemel Hempstead Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Farnborough40%fair 2.53 · @2.40

Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.35

Hemel Hempstead Town39%fair 2.57 · @2.60

2.64Expected goals

1.33Farnborough xG

1.31Hemel Hempstead Town xG

61%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–09%

0–19%

2–18%

1–28%

0–07%

From our goals model: Farnborough 1.3 – 1.3 Hemel Hempstead Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Farnborough to win ✗	40%	2.53	2.40
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.27	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	61%	1.63	1.60
Draw no bet	Farnborough (draw no bet) ✗	50%	1.98	–
Asian handicap	Hemel Hempstead Town +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	51%	1.97	1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	71%	1.42	1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	Farnborough to score first ✗	47%	2.14	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	43%	2.34	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Farnborough / FT Farnborough ✗	22%	4.65	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.12	–

Farnborough – last 6

WWDLLW

8 Aug	@ Maidstone Utd	2–1	W
1 Aug	vs Bath City	3–0	W
29 Jul	vs Portsmouth	1–1	D
18 Jul	@ Aldershot Town	1–2	L
11 Jul	vs Reading	1–2	L
7 Jul	@ Ashford Town (Middlesex)	1–0	W

1.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Hemel Hempstead Town – last 6

DDLLDL

8 Aug	vs Chelmsford City	1–1	D
1 Aug	@ St Albans City	1–1	D
18 Jul	@ Wealdstone	0–1	L
11 Jul	vs Barnet	1–2	L
6 Apr	@ Enfield Town	0–0	D
3 Apr	vs Chesham United	0–3	L

0.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	16	10	5	1	+26	35
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	+9	32
3	Salisbury	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Truro City	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	+12	29
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	+16	26
8	Chelmsford City	16	5	10	1	+8	25
9	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	+2	25
10	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	+9	24
11	Torquay	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Horsham	16	5	7	4	+4	22
13	Dover	14	6	4	4	+1	22
14	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	+3	21
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	-5	16
19	Braintree	16	5	1	10	-18	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	17	3	6	8	-11	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	-22	7

Team

Pts

+26

+17

+15

+12

+11

+16

-12

-20

-5

-18

-11

-13

-18

-25

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Farnborough vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Farnborough vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

On our numbers Farnborough have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hemel Hempstead Town 39%.

How many goals will there be in Farnborough vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Farnborough vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Our predicted score is Farnborough 1–1 Hemel Hempstead Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Farnborough vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Farnborough vs Hemel Hempstead Town (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Saunders Transport Community Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Farnborough v Hemel Hempstead Town: numbers & prediction