Horsham v Salisbury Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHorsham to win ✗55% · @1.91

Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26

Horsham vs Salisbury: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Salisbury travel to face Horsham on Saturday 15 August in the National League South, with The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Horsham are 12th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Salisbury are 3rd (among the top four) with 31.

Current form

Horsham, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Torquay, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Salisbury, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Hampton & Richmond, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Salisbury, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Horsham.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Horsham 1.9 xG, Salisbury 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Horsham 55%, draw 20%, Salisbury 25%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Horsham 1–1 Salisbury. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Horsham55%fair 1.82 · @1.91

Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.45

Salisbury25%fair 4.00 · @3.45

3.14Expected goals

1.92Horsham xG

1.22Salisbury xG

60%Both score

57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

2–110%

1–08%

2–08%

3–16%

1–26%

From our goals model: Horsham 1.9 – 1.2 Salisbury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Horsham to win ✗	55%	1.82	1.91
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	80%	1.25	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	60%	1.67	1.65
Draw no bet	Horsham (draw no bet)	69%	1.46	–
Asian handicap	Salisbury +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	78%	1.28	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	57%	1.77	1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	65%	1.54	1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	–
First team to score	Horsham to score first ✗	59%	1.71	–
Half-time result	Horsham ahead at half-time ✗	40%	2.48	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Horsham / FT Horsham ✗	34%	2.98	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.26	–

Horsham – last 6

DLLWWL

8 Aug	@ Torquay	1–1	D
1 Aug	@ Worthing	0–3	L
25 Jul	@ Sutton Utd	0–2	L
18 Jul	vs Eastbourne Town	3–0	W
10 Jul	vs Eastleigh	3–2	W
14 Apr	@ Weston-super-Mare	0–1	L

1.2Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Salisbury – last 6

WWLWLW

8 Aug	vs Hampton & Richmond	5–0	W
31 Jul	vs Havant & Wville	5–0	W
25 Jul	@ Frome Town	0–3	L
18 Jul	@ Wimborne Town	3–1	W
11 Jul	vs Bristol Rovers	2–3	L
4 Jul	@ Amesbury Town	7–0	W

3.7Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	16	10	5	1	+26	35
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	+9	32
3	Salisbury	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Truro City	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	+12	29
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	+16	26
8	Chelmsford City	16	5	10	1	+8	25
9	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	+2	25
10	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	+9	24
11	Torquay	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Horsham	16	5	7	4	+4	22
13	Dover	14	6	4	4	+1	22
14	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	+3	21
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	-5	16
19	Braintree	16	5	1	10	-18	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	17	3	6	8	-11	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	-22	7

Team

Pts

+26

+17

+15

+12

+11

+16

-12

-20

-5

-18

-11

-13

-18

-25

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Horsham vs Salisbury?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Horsham vs Salisbury?

On our numbers Horsham have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Salisbury 25%.

How many goals will there be in Horsham vs Salisbury?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Horsham vs Salisbury?

Our predicted score is Horsham 1–1 Salisbury, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Horsham vs Salisbury?

Horsham vs Salisbury (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Horsham v Salisbury: numbers & prediction