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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cambridge United v Northampton: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · Abbey Stadium

Cambridge United

DWDWD
2–1
FT

Northampton

LLWDD
Cambridge United 59%Draw 20%Northampton 21% Expected goals 2.50 – 1.50
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultCambridge United to win ✓59% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.65

Cambridge United vs Northampton: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Tuesday 6 October: Cambridge United v Northampton in the EFL Trophy, played at Abbey Stadium. In the table, Cambridge United are 2nd on 6 points after 3 matches; Northampton are 1st with 9. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Cambridge United, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with AFC Wimbledon, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Northampton, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rotherham, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Cambridge United, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Northampton.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Jul 2026) it ended Cambridge United 0–0 Northampton.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cambridge United 2.5 xG, Northampton 1.5 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cambridge United 59%, draw 20%, Northampton 21%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cambridge United 2–1 Northampton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cambridge United59%fair 1.71 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.40
Northampton21%fair 4.65 · @3.80
4.00Expected goals
2.50Cambridge United xG
1.50Northampton xG
66%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%

From our goals model: Cambridge United 2.5 – 1.5 Northampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCambridge United to win ✓59%1.711.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.521.62 ▲
Draw no betCambridge United (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapNorthampton +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗57%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
First team to scoreCambridge United to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultCambridge United ahead at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cambridge United / FT Cambridge United ✓39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.65–

Recent results

Cambridge United – last 6

DWDWDW
26 Sepvs AFC Wimbledon1–1D
22 Sep@ Gillingham4–1W
19 Sep@ Oxford United1–1D
12 Sepvs Reading2–1W
5 Sep@ Burton Albion2–2D
1 Sep@ Bradford2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Northampton – last 6

LLWDDL
19 Sepvs Rotherham0–1L
12 Sep@ Shrewsbury0–2L
5 Sepvs Newport County1–0W
1 Sepvs Crawley Town1–1D
29 Aug@ Gillingham1–1D
22 Aug@ Crewe0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Jul 2026Cambridge United v Northampton0–0
Cambridge United vs Northampton head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Northampton3300+59
2Walsall3201+15
3Shrewsbury3102-13
4Chelsea U213003-51

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub
FT Accrington ST1 Salford City1 Pens 5–4 122%3.25X21%3.40257%1.91 2.0–3.0xG GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.50 ✓
FT Sheffield Wednesday2 Sunderland U210 167%1.36X18%5.00215%5.00 3.3–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.50 ✗
FT Blackpool2 Crewe2 Pens 4–2 160%1.62X18%3.90222%3.90 3.1–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.50 ✓
FT Rotherham0 Bradford4 120%3.30X21%3.20260%1.95 1.0–2.0xG X2Bradford or draw 80%@1.29 ✓
FT Port Vale2 Mansfield Town0 143%2.50X23%3.10235%2.40 2.1–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.57 ✗
FT Shrewsbury0 Stockport County2 115%4.50X20%3.50265%1.62 1.7–3.3xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.70 ✗
FT Grimsby0 Burton Albion0 Pens 2–4 141%2.30X22%3.25238%2.62 1.5–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.44 ✗
FT Fleetwood Town4 Barnsley1 122%3.10X21%3.80257%1.80 1.5–2.5xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cambridge United vs Northampton?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Cambridge United vs Northampton?

On our numbers Cambridge United have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Northampton 21%.

How many goals will there be in Cambridge United vs Northampton?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cambridge United vs Northampton?

Our predicted score is Cambridge United 2–1 Northampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Cambridge United vs Northampton?

Cambridge United vs Northampton (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Abbey Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.