Double chanceSan Martin Formosa or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.02
San Martin Formosa vs 9 de Julio Rafaela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Martin Formosa welcome 9 de Julio Rafaela to 17 De Octubre for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 23 August (20:00 WAT). In the table, San Martin Formosa are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; 9 de Julio Rafaela are 14th (upper half) with 25.
Current form
San Martin Formosa, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gimnasia Chivilcoy, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
9 de Julio Rafaela, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gimnasia Chivilcoy, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours San Martin Formosa, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for 9 de Julio Rafaela.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Martin Formosa 1.9 xG, 9 de Julio Rafaela 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Martin Formosa 65%, draw 25%, 9 de Julio Rafaela 10%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martin Formosa 1–0 9 de Julio Rafaela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Martin Formosa65%fair 1.54 · @1.53
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.40
9 de Julio Rafaela10%fair 9.66 · @6.25
2.60Expected goals
1.93San Martin Formosa xG
0.689 de Julio Rafaela xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: San Martin Formosa 1.9 – 0.7 9 de Julio Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martin Formosa to win✓
65%
1.54
1.53
Double chance
San Martin Formosa or draw✓
90%
1.12
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.62
Draw no bet
San Martin Formosa (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
San Martin Formosa -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.08
First team to score
San Martin Formosa to score first
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
San Martin Formosa ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Martin Formosa / FT San Martin Formosa✓
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.02
–
Recent results
San Martin Formosa – last 6
DWWWWL
16 Aug
@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1–1
D
12 Aug
vs Sportivo Belgrano
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Douglas Haig
4–1
W
2 Aug
vs Sol de América
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs Bartolomé Mitre
1–0
W
12 Jul
@ Sarmiento de La Banda
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
9 de Julio Rafaela – last 6
WDDLLL
13 Aug
vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Sportivo Belgrano
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Douglas Haig
0–0
D
26 Jul
@ Douglas Haig
1–2
L
13 Jul
vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
1–2
L
5 Jul
@ Gimnasia Concepción
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Martin Formosa and 9 de Julio Rafaela.
What is the prediction for San Martin Formosa vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win San Martin Formosa vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
On our numbers San Martin Formosa have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 25% and 9 de Julio Rafaela 10%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin Formosa vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin Formosa vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Our predicted score is San Martin Formosa 1–0 9 de Julio Rafaela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is San Martin Formosa vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
San Martin Formosa vs 9 de Julio Rafaela (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at 17 De Octubre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
