Sarmiento de La Banda 44%Draw 25%Sportivo Belgrano 32%Expected goals 1.10 – 0.86
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Sportivo Belgrano to win @ 3.80 – our chance 32% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSarmiento de La Banda to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.68
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 23 August the Torneo Federal A brings Sarmiento de La Banda against Sportivo Belgrano at Stadio Ciudad de La Banda. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Sarmiento de La Banda are 13th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Sportivo Belgrano are 3rd (among the top four) with 30.
Current form
Sarmiento de La Banda, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Douglas Haig, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Sportivo Belgrano, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Defensores de Belgrano VR, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarmiento de La Banda 1.1 xG, Sportivo Belgrano 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarmiento de La Banda 44%, draw 25%, Sportivo Belgrano 32%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Sportivo Belgrano to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarmiento de La Banda 1–0 Sportivo Belgrano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarmiento de La Banda44%fair 2.28 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @2.88
Sportivo Belgrano32%fair 3.17 · @3.80
1.96Expected goals
1.10Sarmiento de La Banda xG
0.86Sportivo Belgrano xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sarmiento de La Banda 1.1 – 0.9 Sportivo Belgrano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarmiento de La Banda to win✓
44%
2.28
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Sarmiento de La Banda (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Sportivo Belgrano +1 (Asian handicap)✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
1.04
First team to score
Sarmiento de La Banda to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarmiento de La Banda / FT Sarmiento de La Banda✓
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.68
–
Recent results
Sarmiento de La Banda – last 6
LDDDWL
16 Aug
@ Douglas Haig
1–3
L
13 Aug
vs Sol de América
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Bartolomé Mitre
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Tucuman Central
1–1
D
12 Jul
vs San Martin Formosa
2–0
W
4 Jul
@ Defensores de Vilelas
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sportivo Belgrano – last 6
LLDDDD
17 Aug
vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–2
L
12 Aug
@ San Martin Formosa
0–2
L
8 Aug
vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Atletico Escobar
2–2
D
12 Jul
@ Sportivo Las Parejas
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento de La Banda and Sportivo Belgrano.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano?
On our numbers Sarmiento de La Banda have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sportivo Belgrano 32%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento de La Banda 1–0 Sportivo Belgrano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ciudad de La Banda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
