Value bet: Alvarado to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlvarado to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceAlvarado or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.23
Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the Torneo Federal A brings Alvarado against Olimpo Bahia Blanca. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Alvarado are 5th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; Olimpo Bahia Blanca are 1st (leading the league) with 31.
Current form
Alvarado, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cipolletti, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Olimpo Bahia Blanca, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cipolletti, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Alvarado 2–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alvarado 1.3 xG, Olimpo Bahia Blanca 0.4 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alvarado 62%, draw 23%, Olimpo Bahia Blanca 15%.
Lower-risk option: Alvarado or draw (85%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Alvarado to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alvarado 1–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alvarado62%fair 1.61 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @2.90
Olimpo Bahia Blanca15%fair 6.51 · @4.33
1.68Expected goals
1.27Alvarado xG
0.41Olimpo Bahia Blanca xG
44%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–024%
0–019%
2–015%
1–110%
0–18%
3–06%
From our goals model: Alvarado 1.3 – 0.4 Olimpo Bahia Blanca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
On our numbers Alvarado have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Olimpo Bahia Blanca 15%.
How many goals will there be in Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Our predicted score is Alvarado 1–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
