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Bartolomé Mitre v San Martin Formosa: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni
Bartolomé Mitre 29%Draw 24%San Martin Formosa 47% Expected goals 0.88 – 1.22
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSan Martin Formosa to win ✗47% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.44

Bartolomé Mitre vs San Martin Formosa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bartolomé Mitre welcome San Martin Formosa to Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 20 September (21:00 WAT). In the table, Bartolomé Mitre are 9th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; San Martin Formosa are 4th (among the top four) with 30.

Current form

Bartolomé Mitre, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over 9 de Julio Rafaela, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

San Martin Formosa, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sarmiento de La Banda, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours San Martin Formosa, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Bartolomé Mitre.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended San Martin Formosa 1–0 Bartolomé Mitre. The last 2 head-to-heads: Bartolomé Mitre 1 win, San Martin Formosa 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bartolomé Mitre 0.9 xG, San Martin Formosa 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bartolomé Mitre 29%, draw 24%, San Martin Formosa 47%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.20.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bartolomé Mitre 0–1 San Martin Formosa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bartolomé Mitre29%fair 3.44 · @3.20
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
San Martin Formosa47%fair 2.14 · @2.15
2.10Expected goals
0.88Bartolomé Mitre xG
1.22San Martin Formosa xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Bartolomé Mitre 0.9 – 1.2 San Martin Formosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Martin Formosa to win ✗47%2.142.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.992.20 ▲
Draw no betSan Martin Formosa (draw no bet)62%1.62–
Asian handicapBartolomé Mitre +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗62%1.601.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.551.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.211.14
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.04
First team to scoreSan Martin Formosa to score first ✗51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Martin Formosa / FT San Martin Formosa ✗25%3.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.44–

Recent results

Bartolomé Mitre – last 6

WLLLLD
13 Sep@ 9 de Julio Rafaela1–0W
6 Sepvs Gimnasia Chivilcoy0–1L
30 Aug@ Sportivo Belgrano0–2L
23 Augvs Douglas Haig0–3L
16 Aug@ Sol de América1–2L
8 Augvs Sarmiento de La Banda1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

San Martin Formosa – last 6

WLWDWW
13 Sepvs Sarmiento de La Banda3–0W
6 Sep@ Defensores de Belgrano VR0–1L
23 Augvs 9 de Julio Rafaela2–1W
16 Aug@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy1–1D
12 Augvs Sportivo Belgrano2–0W
8 Aug@ Douglas Haig4–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Jul 2026San Martin Formosa v Bartolomé Mitre1–0
17 May 2026Bartolomé Mitre v San Martin Formosa2–0
Bartolomé Mitre vs San Martin Formosa head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bartolomé Mitre vs San Martin Formosa?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Bartolomé Mitre vs San Martin Formosa?

On our numbers Bartolomé Mitre have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and San Martin Formosa 47%.

How many goals will there be in Bartolomé Mitre vs San Martin Formosa?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bartolomé Mitre vs San Martin Formosa?

Our predicted score is Bartolomé Mitre 0–1 San Martin Formosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Bartolomé Mitre vs San Martin Formosa?

Bartolomé Mitre vs San Martin Formosa (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.