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Boca Unidos v Defensores de Vilelas: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio Leoncio Benitez
Boca Unidos 61%Draw 25%Defensores de Vilelas 14% Expected goals 1.90 – 0.82
61%
Betarazi pick

Boca Unidos to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultBoca Unidos to win ✗61% · @1.70
Double chanceBoca Unidos or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26

Boca Unidos vs Defensores de Vilelas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 20 September the Torneo Federal A brings Boca Unidos against Defensores de Vilelas at Estadio Leoncio Benitez. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Boca Unidos are 29th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Defensores de Vilelas are 24th (lower half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Boca Unidos, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to El Linqueño, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Defensores de Vilelas, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Independiente De Chivilcoy, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Boca Unidos, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Defensores de Vilelas.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Jun 2026) it ended Defensores de Vilelas 2–0 Boca Unidos.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Boca Unidos 1.9 xG, Defensores de Vilelas 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Boca Unidos 61%, draw 25%, Defensores de Vilelas 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Boca Unidos or draw (86%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Boca Unidos to win (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boca Unidos 1–0 Defensores de Vilelas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Boca Unidos61%fair 1.63 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.25
Defensores de Vilelas14%fair 7.11 · @4.75
2.72Expected goals
1.90Boca Unidos xG
0.82Defensores de Vilelas xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Boca Unidos 1.9 – 0.8 Defensores de Vilelas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBoca Unidos to win ✗61%1.631.70
Double chanceBoca Unidos or draw ✓86%1.161.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.961.83
Draw no betBoca Unidos (draw no bet)81%1.23–
Asian handicapBoca Unidos -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.96–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.16–
First team to scoreBoca Unidos to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultBoca Unidos ahead at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Boca Unidos / FT Boca Unidos ✗40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.26–

Recent results

Boca Unidos – last 6

LWDWWD
13 Sep@ El Linqueño0–1L
6 Sepvs Gimnasia Concepción1–0W
29 Aug@ Tucuman Central2–2D
23 Augvs Sportivo Las Parejas1–0W
16 Aug@ Sarmiento Resistencia3–0W
8 Augvs Independiente De Chivilcoy1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Defensores de Vilelas – last 6

WLDLWD
13 Sepvs Independiente De Chivilcoy2–0W
7 Sep@ Atletico Escobar1–2L
23 Augvs El Linqueño0–0D
16 Aug@ Gimnasia Concepción0–2L
12 Augvs Tucuman Central4–3W
8 Aug@ Sportivo Las Parejas0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Jun 2026Defensores de Vilelas v Boca Unidos2–0
Boca Unidos vs Defensores de Vilelas head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Boca Unidos vs Defensores de Vilelas?

Our pick is Boca Unidos to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Boca Unidos vs Defensores de Vilelas?

On our numbers Boca Unidos have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Defensores de Vilelas 14%.

How many goals will there be in Boca Unidos vs Defensores de Vilelas?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Boca Unidos vs Defensores de Vilelas?

Our predicted score is Boca Unidos 1–0 Defensores de Vilelas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Boca Unidos vs Defensores de Vilelas?

Boca Unidos vs Defensores de Vilelas (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Leoncio Benitez.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.