Value bet: Kimberley Mar del Plata to win @ 3.70 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVilla Mitre to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.80
Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Villa Mitre v Kimberley Mar del Plata in the Torneo Federal A, played at Estadio El Fortin. In the table, Villa Mitre are 16th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Kimberley Mar del Plata are 8th (upper half) with 26. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Villa Mitre, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Argentino Monte Maíz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Kimberley Mar del Plata, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Huracan Las Heras, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (25 May 2026) it ended Villa Mitre 0–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villa Mitre 1.0 xG, Kimberley Mar del Plata 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villa Mitre 45%, draw 24%, Kimberley Mar del Plata 31%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Kimberley Mar del Plata to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villa Mitre 1–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villa Mitre45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.88
Kimberley Mar del Plata31%fair 3.26 · @3.70
1.78Expected goals
1.02Villa Mitre xG
0.76Kimberley Mar del Plata xG
47%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–017%
1–113%
0–113%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Villa Mitre 1.0 – 0.8 Kimberley Mar del Plata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
On our numbers Villa Mitre have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kimberley Mar del Plata 31%.
How many goals will there be in Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Our predicted score is Villa Mitre 1–0 Kimberley Mar del Plata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Villa Mitre vs Kimberley Mar del Plata (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
