Douglas Haig 57%Draw 24%Gimnasia Chivilcoy 19%Expected goals 1.36 – 0.62
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Douglas Haig to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDouglas Haig to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceDouglas Haig or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.35
Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gimnasia Chivilcoy travel to face Douglas Haig on Sunday 20 September in the Torneo Federal A, with Miguel Morales the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Douglas Haig are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 18 matches; Gimnasia Chivilcoy are 6th (upper half) with 27.
Current form
Douglas Haig, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Sportivo Belgrano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gimnasia Chivilcoy, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bartolomé Mitre, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Douglas Haig 1.4 xG, Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Douglas Haig 57%, draw 24%, Gimnasia Chivilcoy 19%.
Lower-risk option: Douglas Haig or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Douglas Haig to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Douglas Haig 1–0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Douglas Haig57%fair 1.75 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.90
Gimnasia Chivilcoy19%fair 5.22 · @3.90
1.99Expected goals
1.36Douglas Haig xG
0.62Gimnasia Chivilcoy xG
47%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Douglas Haig 1.4 – 0.6 Gimnasia Chivilcoy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Douglas Haig to win✗
57%
1.75
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Douglas Haig or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.53
Draw no bet
Douglas Haig (draw no bet)
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Gimnasia Chivilcoy +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
1.04
First team to score
Douglas Haig to score first✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Douglas Haig / FT Douglas Haig✗
32%
3.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.35
–
Recent results
Douglas Haig – last 6
WLWWDL
13 Sep
@ Sportivo Belgrano
4–0
W
30 Aug
vs Sol de América
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Bartolomé Mitre
3–0
W
16 Aug
vs Sarmiento de La Banda
3–1
W
12 Aug
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs San Martin Formosa
1–4
L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Gimnasia Chivilcoy – last 6
WWWDLD
6 Sep
@ Bartolomé Mitre
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs Sarmiento de La Banda
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs San Martin Formosa
1–1
D
13 Aug
@ 9 de Julio Rafaela
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Sportivo Belgrano
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Douglas Haig and Gimnasia Chivilcoy.
What is the prediction for Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
On our numbers Douglas Haig have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gimnasia Chivilcoy 19%.
How many goals will there be in Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
Our predicted score is Douglas Haig 1–0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Miguel Morales.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
