Double chanceDeportivo Rincon or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · @1.25
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.39
Deportivo Rincon vs Santamarina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Deportivo Rincon v Santamarina in the Torneo Federal A, played at Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros. In the table, Deportivo Rincon are 22nd, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Santamarina are 36th (in the drop zone) with 13.
Current form
Deportivo Rincon, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Fundacion Amigos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Santamarina, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Costa Brava, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Rincon 1.6 xG, Santamarina 0.4 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Rincon 70%, draw 20%, Santamarina 10%.
GG/NG: NG (59%) at 1.25.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Deportivo Rincon to win (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Rincon 1–0 Santamarina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Rincon70%fair 1.43 · @1.36
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.70
Santamarina10%fair 9.79 · @8.50
1.93Expected goals
1.57Deportivo Rincon xG
0.36Santamarina xG
41%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–023%
2–018%
0–015%
3–09%
1–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Deportivo Rincon 1.6 – 0.4 Santamarina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Rincon to win✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Double chance
Deportivo Rincon or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.25
Draw no bet
Deportivo Rincon (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Rincon -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.03
First team to score
Deportivo Rincon to score first✓
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Rincon / FT Deportivo Rincon✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.39
–
Recent results
Deportivo Rincon – last 6
LDDWLD
13 Sep
@ Fundacion Amigos
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Costa Brava
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Germinal de Rawson
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Juventud Unida Univ.
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ San Martín Mendoza
0–1
L
12 Aug
vs Circulo Deportivo
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Santamarina – last 6
LLWLWL
13 Sep
vs Costa Brava
1–3
L
6 Sep
@ Juventud Unida Univ.
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Circulo Deportivo
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Guillermo Brown
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs Fundacion Amigos
2–0
W
12 Aug
@ Germinal de Rawson
1–5
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Rincon and Santamarina.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Rincon vs Santamarina?
Our pick is Deportivo Rincon to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Deportivo Rincon vs Santamarina?
On our numbers Deportivo Rincon have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Santamarina 10%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Rincon vs Santamarina?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Rincon vs Santamarina?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Rincon 1–0 Santamarina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Rincon vs Santamarina?
Deportivo Rincon vs Santamarina (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
