Value bet: Juventud Unida Univ. to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJuventud Unida Univ. to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceJuventud Unida Univ. or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.62
Juventud Unida Univ. vs San Martín Mendoza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Martín Mendoza travel to face Juventud Unida Univ. on Sunday 20 September in the Torneo Federal A, with Estadio Mario Sebastian Diez the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Juventud Unida Univ. are 31st, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; San Martín Mendoza are 23rd (lower half) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Juventud Unida Univ., last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sol de Mayo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
San Martín Mendoza, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Circulo Deportivo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended San Martín Mendoza 0–0 Juventud Unida Univ..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juventud Unida Univ. 1.3 xG, San Martín Mendoza 0.5 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juventud Unida Univ. 61%, draw 23%, San Martín Mendoza 16%.
Lower-risk option: Juventud Unida Univ. or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Juventud Unida Univ. to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventud Unida Univ. 1–0 San Martín Mendoza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juventud Unida Univ.61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @2.88
San Martín Mendoza16%fair 6.23 · @3.80
1.83Expected goals
1.35Juventud Unida Univ. xG
0.48San Martín Mendoza xG
43%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–022%
0–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Juventud Unida Univ. 1.3 – 0.5 San Martín Mendoza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventud Unida Univ. to win✗
61%
1.63
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Juventud Unida Univ. or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.53
Draw no bet
Juventud Unida Univ. (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
San Martín Mendoza +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.04
First team to score
Juventud Unida Univ. to score first✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventud Unida Univ. / FT Juventud Unida Univ.✗
What is the prediction for Juventud Unida Univ. vs San Martín Mendoza?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Juventud Unida Univ. vs San Martín Mendoza?
On our numbers Juventud Unida Univ. have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Martín Mendoza 16%.
How many goals will there be in Juventud Unida Univ. vs San Martín Mendoza?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventud Unida Univ. vs San Martín Mendoza?
Our predicted score is Juventud Unida Univ. 1–0 San Martín Mendoza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Juventud Unida Univ. vs San Martín Mendoza?
Juventud Unida Univ. vs San Martín Mendoza (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mario Sebastian Diez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
