Atalanta v Hapoel Tel Aviv Prediction & Expected Goals (20 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAtalanta to win ✗72% · @1.16

Double chanceAtalanta or draw ✓87% · @1.03

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.10

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.12

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48

Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atalanta welcome Hapoel Tel Aviv to New Balance Arena for a UEFA Europa Conference League fixture on Thursday 20 August (19:30 WAT).

Current form

Atalanta, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Athletic Club, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Hapoel Tel Aviv, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ironi Kiryat Shmona, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Hapoel Tel Aviv, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Atalanta.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atalanta 2.3 xG, Hapoel Tel Aviv 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Atalanta 72%, draw 15%, Hapoel Tel Aviv 13%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (58%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atalanta 2–0 Hapoel Tel Aviv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atalanta72%fair 1.39 · @1.16

Draw15%fair 6.51 · @7.00

Hapoel Tel Aviv13%fair 7.98 · @16.00

3.08Expected goals

2.29Atalanta xG

0.80Hapoel Tel Aviv xG

56%Both score

63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%

1–010%

2–110%

3–09%

1–18%

3–17%

From our goals model: Atalanta 2.3 – 0.8 Hapoel Tel Aviv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Atalanta to win ✗	72%	1.39	1.16
Double chance	Atalanta or draw ✓	87%	1.14	1.03
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	56%	1.79	2.10 ▲
Draw no bet	Atalanta (draw no bet)	85%	1.17	–
Asian handicap	Atalanta -1 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	83%	1.21	1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	63%	1.59	1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	58%	1.71	1.75
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	1.30
First team to score	Atalanta to score first ✗	71%	1.41	–
Half-time result	Atalanta ahead at half-time ✗	52%	1.94	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Atalanta / FT Atalanta ✗	47%	2.12	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.48	–

Atalanta – last 6

WWLDLL

14 Aug	vs Athletic Club	1–0	W
8 Aug	@ FC Schalke 04	3–0	W
2 Aug	@ Feyenoord	1–2	L
22 May	@ Fiorentina	1–1	D
17 May	vs Bologna	0–1	L
27 Apr	@ Cagliari	2–3	L

1.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Hapoel Tel Aviv – last 6

WLWDWD

16 Aug	@ Ironi Kiryat Shmona	2–1	W
12 Aug	@ GKS Katowice	1–2	L
6 Aug	vs GKS Katowice	2–0	W
30 Jul	@ Ludogorets	2–2	D
23 Jul	vs Ludogorets	2–0	W
18 Jul	@ Beitar Jerusalem	2–2	D

1.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

On our numbers Atalanta have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Hapoel Tel Aviv 13%.

How many goals will there be in Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Our predicted score is Atalanta 2–0 Hapoel Tel Aviv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at New Balance Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Atalanta v Hapoel Tel Aviv: numbers & prediction