Tromso v Brighton Prediction & Expected Goals (20 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBrighton to win ✗64% · @1.53

Double chanceBrighton or draw ✓82% · @1.12

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.35

Tromso vs Brighton: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Thursday 20 August: Tromso v Brighton in the UEFA Europa Conference League, played at Romssa Arena.

Current form

Tromso, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Molde, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Brighton, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bologna, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Brighton, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Tromso.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tromso 1.1 xG, Brighton 2.3 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Tromso 18%, draw 19%, Brighton 64%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tromso 1–2 Brighton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tromso18%fair 5.65 · @5.80

Draw19%fair 5.40 · @4.10

Brighton64%fair 1.57 · @1.53

3.45Expected goals

1.14Tromso xG

2.31Brighton xG

59%Both score

61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%

0–28%

1–18%

1–37%

0–17%

0–37%

From our goals model: Tromso 1.1 – 2.3 Brighton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Brighton to win ✗	64%	1.57	1.53
Double chance	Brighton or draw ✓	82%	1.22	1.12
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	59%	1.71	1.75
Draw no bet	Brighton (draw no bet)	78%	1.28	–
Asian handicap	Brighton -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	81%	1.23	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	61%	1.64	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	61%	1.65	1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	78%	1.29	1.15
First team to score	Brighton to score first ✗	65%	1.54	–
Half-time result	Brighton ahead at half-time ✗	47%	2.11	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Brighton / FT Brighton ✗	42%	2.41	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.35	–

Tromso – last 6

LWWWLL

16 Aug	@ Molde	2–3	L
13 Aug	vs CFR 1907 Cluj	2–1	W
6 Aug	@ CFR 1907 Cluj	5–0	W
2 Aug	@ Aalesund	6–2	W
30 Jul	@ Hradec Králové	1–3	L
23 Jul	vs Hradec Králové	0–1	L

2.7Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Brighton – last 6

WWWLLW

15 Aug	vs Bologna	1–0	W
8 Aug	vs AS Roma	3–0	W
1 Aug	vs Strasbourg	4–3	W
24 May	vs Manchester United	0–3	L
17 May	@ Leeds	0–1	L
21 Apr	vs Chelsea	3–0	W

1.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

17%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tromso vs Brighton?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Tromso vs Brighton?

On our numbers Tromso have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Brighton 64%.

How many goals will there be in Tromso vs Brighton?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tromso vs Brighton?

Our predicted score is Tromso 1–2 Brighton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Tromso vs Brighton?

Tromso vs Brighton (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Romssa Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Tromso v Brighton: numbers & prediction

Tromso