Gornik Zabrze v Monaco Prediction & Expected Goals (20 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMonaco to win ✓62% · @1.53

Double chanceMonaco or draw ✓83% · @1.13

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.77

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gornik Zabrze welcome Monaco to Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla for a UEFA Europa Conference League fixture on Thursday 20 August (19:00 WAT).

Current form

Gornik Zabrze, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Wisla Krakow, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Monaco, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Coventry, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gornik Zabrze 0.9 xG, Monaco 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Gornik Zabrze 17%, draw 21%, Monaco 62%.
Lower-risk option: Monaco or draw (83%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gornik Zabrze 0–2 Monaco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gornik Zabrze17%fair 5.78 · @5.70

Draw21%fair 4.75 · @4.20

Monaco62%fair 1.62 · @1.53

2.88Expected goals

0.92Gornik Zabrze xG

1.95Monaco xG

55%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%

0–211%

1–110%

1–210%

0–37%

1–36%

From our goals model: Gornik Zabrze 0.9 – 2.0 Monaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Monaco to win ✓	62%	1.62	1.53
Double chance	Monaco or draw ✓	83%	1.21	1.13
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	55%	1.81	1.77
Draw no bet	Monaco (draw no bet) ✓	78%	1.28	–
Asian handicap	Monaco -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.29	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.82	1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	67%	1.49	1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	83%	1.21	1.15
First team to score	Monaco to score first ✓	64%	1.56	–
Half-time result	Monaco ahead at half-time ✓	45%	2.25	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Monaco / FT Monaco ✓	39%	2.56	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.08	–

Gornik Zabrze – last 6

WDWLDW

16 Aug	vs Wisla Krakow	2–1	W
13 Aug	vs Ferencvarosi TC	1–1	D
8 Aug	@ Radomiak Radom	3–1	W
5 Aug	@ Ferencvarosi TC	0–1	L
29 Jul	vs Fenerbahçe	1–1	D
25 Jul	vs Slask Wroclaw	2–1	W

1.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Monaco – last 6

LWWDLW

14 Aug	@ Coventry	0–2	L
9 Aug	@ Liverpool	3–2	W
6 Aug	vs Getafe	1–0	W
31 Jul	vs Cercle Brugge	2–2	D
25 Jul	@ Sporting CP	0–2	L
18 Jul	vs Saint-Priest	5–2	W

1.8Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco?

On our numbers Gornik Zabrze have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Monaco 62%.

How many goals will there be in Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco?

Our predicted score is Gornik Zabrze 0–2 Monaco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco?

Gornik Zabrze vs Monaco (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Gornik Zabrze v Monaco: numbers & prediction

Gornik Zabrze