FC Midtjylland v HNK Rijeka Prediction & Expected Goals (20 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFC Midtjylland to win ✓61% · @1.54

Double chanceFC Midtjylland or draw ✓83% · @1.12

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.77

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.72

FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

HNK Rijeka travel to face FC Midtjylland on Thursday 20 August in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with MCH Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT.

Current form

FC Midtjylland, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lyngby, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

HNK Rijeka, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to NK Varazdin, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Midtjylland 1.7 xG, HNK Rijeka 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – FC Midtjylland 61%, draw 22%, HNK Rijeka 17%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Midtjylland 1–0 HNK Rijeka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Midtjylland61%fair 1.64 · @1.54

Draw22%fair 4.52 · @4.20

HNK Rijeka17%fair 5.88 · @5.50

2.44Expected goals

1.69FC Midtjylland xG

0.75HNK Rijeka xG

52%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%

2–013%

1–111%

2–19%

0–09%

3–07%

From our goals model: FC Midtjylland 1.7 – 0.7 HNK Rijeka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	FC Midtjylland to win ✓	61%	1.64	1.54
Double chance	FC Midtjylland or draw ✓	83%	1.20	1.12
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	52%	1.93	1.77
Draw no bet	FC Midtjylland (draw no bet) ✓	78%	1.28	–
Asian handicap	FC Midtjylland -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	60%	1.67	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	73%	1.36	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.98	2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	72%	1.39	1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	1.15
First team to score	FC Midtjylland to score first ✓	63%	1.58	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	43%	2.32	–
Half-time / full-time	HT FC Midtjylland / FT FC Midtjylland ✓	37%	2.69	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.72	–

FC Midtjylland – last 6

DWWWLW

16 Aug	@ Lyngby	1–1	D
13 Aug	vs Bohemians	3–2	W
6 Aug	@ Bohemians	2–0	W
2 Aug	vs AC Horsens	2–1	W
30 Jul	vs Beşiktaş	0–2	L
26 Jul	@ Sonderjyske	3–2	W

1.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

HNK Rijeka – last 6

LDWWWW

16 Aug	@ NK Varazdin	0–2	L
13 Aug	@ Ilves	1–1	D
6 Aug	vs Ilves	1–0	W
2 Aug	vs Rudes	2–1	W
30 Jul	@ Derry City	1–0	W
23 Jul	vs Derry City	1–0	W

1.0Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka?

On our numbers FC Midtjylland have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and HNK Rijeka 17%.

How many goals will there be in FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka?

Our predicted score is FC Midtjylland 1–0 HNK Rijeka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka?

FC Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at MCH Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

FC Midtjylland v HNK Rijeka: numbers & prediction