Value bet: FC Nordsjaelland to win @ 1.69 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Nordsjaelland to win ✓63% · @1.69
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78
FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Nordsjaelland welcome FC ST. Gallen to Right to Dream Park for a UEFA Europa Conference League fixture on Thursday 20 August (18:00 WAT).
Current form
FC Nordsjaelland, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Silkeborg, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
FC ST. Gallen, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Thalwil, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Momentum favours FC Nordsjaelland, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for FC ST. Gallen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Nordsjaelland 2.4 xG, FC ST. Gallen 1.3 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Nordsjaelland 63%, draw 13%, FC ST. Gallen 23%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: FC Nordsjaelland to win @1.69 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Nordsjaelland 2–1 FC ST. Gallen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Nordsjaelland63%fair 1.58 · @1.69
Draw13%fair 7.53 · @4.20
FC ST. Gallen23%fair 4.27 · @4.10
3.68Expected goals
2.35FC Nordsjaelland xG
1.32FC ST. Gallen xG
66%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: FC Nordsjaelland 2.4 – 1.3 FC ST. Gallen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Nordsjaelland to win✓
63%
1.58
1.69 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.51
1.44
Draw no bet
FC Nordsjaelland (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
FC Nordsjaelland -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
First team to score
FC Nordsjaelland to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
FC Nordsjaelland ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Nordsjaelland / FT FC Nordsjaelland✓
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
FC Nordsjaelland – last 6
WWWWWD
16 Aug
vs Silkeborg
1–0
W
13 Aug
vs Valur Reykjavik
5–0
W
6 Aug
@ Valur Reykjavik
2–0
W
2 Aug
vs Randers FC
1–0
W
30 Jul
vs Gais
6–0
W
26 Jul
@ AC Horsens
1–1
D
2.7Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC ST. Gallen – last 6
WWDWWL
16 Aug
@ Thalwil
3–0
W
13 Aug
vs Sheriff Tiraspol
5–1
W
9 Aug
vs FC Luzern
2–2
D
6 Aug
@ Sheriff Tiraspol
3–1
W
2 Aug
@ FC Vaduz
3–2
W
30 Jul
@ Benfica
0–5
L
2.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Nordsjaelland and FC ST. Gallen.
What is the prediction for FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen?
On our numbers FC Nordsjaelland have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 13% and FC ST. Gallen 23%.
How many goals will there be in FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen?
Our predicted score is FC Nordsjaelland 2–1 FC ST. Gallen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen?
FC Nordsjaelland vs FC ST. Gallen (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Right to Dream Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.