Lincoln Red Imps FC v Larne Prediction & Expected Goals (20 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultLincoln Red Imps FC to win ✗45% · @2.00

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.75

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.25

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Thursday 20 August: Lincoln Red Imps FC v Larne in the UEFA Europa Conference League, played at Victoria Stadium.

Current form

Lincoln Red Imps FC, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Omonia Nicosia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Larne, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Coleraine FC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lincoln Red Imps FC 1.4 xG, Larne 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Lincoln Red Imps FC 45%, draw 22%, Larne 33%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Larne to win @3.55 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lincoln Red Imps FC 1–1 Larne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lincoln Red Imps FC45%fair 2.21 · @2.00

Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.45

Larne33%fair 3.00 · @3.55

2.61Expected goals

1.43Lincoln Red Imps FC xG

1.18Larne xG

60%Both score

48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–011%

2–19%

0–19%

2–08%

0–07%

From our goals model: Lincoln Red Imps FC 1.4 – 1.2 Larne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Lincoln Red Imps FC to win ✗	45%	2.21	2.00
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.27	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	60%	1.67	1.75
Draw no bet	Lincoln Red Imps FC (draw no bet) ✗	58%	1.74	–
Asian handicap	Larne +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	73%	1.36	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	73%	1.37	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	52%	1.94	1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	73%	1.37	1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.16	1.10
First team to score	Lincoln Red Imps FC to score first ✗	51%	1.97	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	43%	2.33	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Lincoln Red Imps FC / FT Lincoln Red Imps FC ✗	25%	3.96	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.25	–

Lincoln Red Imps FC – last 6

LDDLDW

13 Aug	@ Omonia Nicosia	0–1	L
6 Aug	vs Omonia Nicosia	1–1	D
28 Jul	vs Mjallby AIF	0–0	D
21 Jul	@ Mjallby AIF	0–3	L
14 Jul	@ Inter Club d'Escaldes	1–1	D
7 Jul	vs Inter Club d'Escaldes	3–1	W

0.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Larne – last 6

DDDLLW

15 Aug	@ Coleraine FC	0–0	D
11 Aug	@ Saburtalo	1–1	D
4 Aug	vs Saburtalo	0–0	D
29 Jul	@ FK Crvena Zvezda	0–5	L
21 Jul	vs FK Crvena Zvezda	0–4	L
14 Jul	vs Tre Fiori	2–1	W

0.5Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne?

On our numbers Lincoln Red Imps FC have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Larne 33%.

How many goals will there be in Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne?

Our predicted score is Lincoln Red Imps FC 1–1 Larne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne?

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Victoria Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Lincoln Red Imps FC v Larne: numbers & prediction